Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $114K in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d83f0c4e548159bc839d24b06f940c497ec5fb71b4b1c9663bbe15f3ba097fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 19c | 37,231$7,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,123.52 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked No | 17c | 11,667$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Yes | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e10…9b8bbacked No | 9c | 9,513$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 12c | 8,518$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.48 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed No | 19c | 7,750$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.72 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 16c | 6,131$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.98 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 11c | 5,200$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 19c | 4,888$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.05 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked No | 19c | 4,766$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.25 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 7c | 3,767$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.55 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 30c | 3,628$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.58 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…018ebacked No | 25c | 3,600$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked No | 13c | 2,989$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.61 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 22c | 2,823$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.65 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked No | 12c | 2,770$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.75 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed No | 27c | 2,295$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.92 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked No | 11c | 2,231$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.87 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed No | 20c | 2,000$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.78 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed No | 12c | 1,904$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 1,846$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…823cbacked No | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967c…5d9fbacked No | 23c | 1,284$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 44cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed No | 30c | 1,221$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.37 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed No | 20c | 1,200$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked No | 20c | 1,200$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed No | 20c | 1,200$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821c…ffc7backed No | 20c | 1,200$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…942cbacked No | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 5c | 1,128$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b8…87fbbacked Yes | 80c | 1,103$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 20c | 1,000$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…448cbacked Yes | 78c | 923.17$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 15c | 810$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f8…8d75backed No | 22c | 765.44$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 23c | 760$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 727.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…87f8backed Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…4afdbacked Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 20c | 541.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x105e…b066backed No | 8c | 525$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d1…8484backed No | 25c | 493.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed No | 10c | 450$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked No | 8c | 449.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab81…5ecdbacked Yes | 77c | 400$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…b594backed No | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 70c | 333$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8d…aebfbacked Yes | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x220a…1795backed No | 13c | 283.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…a00cbacked Yes | 77c | 230.73$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…e808backed No | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9682…ff2abacked Yes | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked No | 16c | 186.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed No | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed No | 17c | 162.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 20c | 154.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…c692backed No | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…9c2dbacked Yes | 70c | 142.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x894c…246abacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86cf…d8a5backed No | 25c | 121.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659a…60ebbacked No | 9c | 112.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb71c…dd68backed No | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9a71backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…6975backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…9dedbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…b26dbacked No | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4872…da4fbacked No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…f94cbacked No | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf13…685cbacked Yes | 80c | 62.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…3172backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c5…79e0backed Yes | 78c | 46.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…4365backed Yes | 80c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…8a13backed Yes | 80c | 40.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…c033backed Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…6dccbacked Yes | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…af87backed Yes | 78c | 34.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…32a3backed Yes | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa75…8e63backed Yes | 79c | 32.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…b1b5backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…aa53backed Yes | 71c | 27.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8435…fca7backed Yes | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…7a6abacked Yes | 67c | 15.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…da0ebacked Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…fadebacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…78c1backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…27a6backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $114K in September?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $112K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $116K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.