Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d69535d408078f235c08329a43130b21beaa4ee32d08aa844a263855334cad1

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 1, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $970,197
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,004,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $970,197 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe5f8…8d75backed Yes	12c	100,196$12,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,508.68	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes	33c	28,432$9,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,402.13	878	28.4%249 W · 629 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes	13c	24,000$3,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,120	128	24.2%31 W · 97 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes	21c	22,985$4,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,894.11	222	16.2%36 W · 186 L	-14.9wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes	21c	22,127$4,649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,648.97	258	24%62 W · 196 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed No	47c	21,327$10,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,324.35	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	29cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes	17c	18,848$3,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,126.39	351	23.9%84 W · 267 L	+15.9wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd5…cf04backed Yes	49c	15,333$7,581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,581.02	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes	16c	14,539$2,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,258.37	150	23.3%35 W · 115 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes	23c	10,948$2,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,541.34	581	26.9%156 W · 425 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf98b…bfc5backed No	78c	10,816$8,483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,332.49	246	54.9%135 W · 111 L	+16.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ce5…d11dbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x421b…ac12backed Yes	61c	8,849$5,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,369.33	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed No	69c	8,516$5,897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,618.27	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes	28c	6,735$1,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,874.02	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7614…ac0abacked No	76c	6,556$4,983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,573.44	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9596…b1e4backed No	48c	6,295$3,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,256.14	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73d3…e9fabacked Yes	8c	6,131$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10bf…c877backed Yes	17c	5,918$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde75…8596backed Yes	8c	5,786$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.49	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	11cpaid	-23%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94da…2bf1backed No	57c	5,521$3,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,357.94	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa601…d54ebacked Yes	19c	5,389$1,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4277…4e6abacked Yes	9c	5,193$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.34	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes	33c	4,923$1,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,627.55	113	16.8%19 W · 94 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes	25c	4,594$1,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,146.27	550	32.5%179 W · 371 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2027…6d60backed Yes	11c	4,433$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.08	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+41%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	0c	4,399$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes	20c	4,194$859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$858.97	184	25%46 W · 138 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32fe…025fbacked Yes	1c	4,133$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.06	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.32per pick	35cpaid	+68.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes	17c	4,000$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+5.1wins	+0.22per pick	26cpaid	+84.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xff62…1148backed No	55c	4,000$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,799.99	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd643…0dd4backed No	68c	3,838$2,607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,231.12	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13cb…a48abacked No	33c	3,579$1,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,396.48	99	13.1%13 W · 86 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…9c10backed No	73c	3,199$2,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$875.25	143	37.1%53 W · 90 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf3f…16a6backed No	47c	3,000$1,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,590	78	10.3%8 W · 70 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	19c	2,987$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.72	81	16%13 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc7e…069abacked Yes	21c	2,528$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.84	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+94.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed Yes	44c	2,459$1,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,087.59	194	39.2%76 W · 118 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a47…aa53backed Yes	17c	2,277$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.35	44	15.9%7 W · 37 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x527c…2e91backed Yes	60c	2,134$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…b2d3backed No	47c	1,600$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b52…4db0backed No	50c	1,408$704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$703.96	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+7.7wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b50…77a2backed Yes	20c	1,370$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.92	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,340$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.12	1,844	4.4%81 W · 1,763 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2adf…d89cbacked No	63c	1,280$805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.3	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+16.5wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe6c1…99fbbacked Yes	21c	1,230$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.3	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	12cpaid	+292.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb5…a393backed Yes	70c	1,188$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.49	167	61.7%103 W · 64 L	+19.6wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes	72c	1,108$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$793.19	122	59.8%73 W · 49 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17aa…cb3dbacked Yes	14c	1,073$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.9wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fec…728ebacked Yes	12c	1,007$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.99	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fed…6ffbbacked Yes	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d1…fd35backed No	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes	30c	1,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-21%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No	79c	999.42$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.88	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79f0…f465backed Yes	18c	959.31$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8e…0f12backed Yes	55c	949.83$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.61	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Yes	55c	910$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.5	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed No	70c	887.09$621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.13	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Yes	23c	868.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+3.7wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf368…873abacked No	77c	827.43$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.85	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a55…cfc4backed Yes	16c	800$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+5.9wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+34%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes	51c	769.46$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.89	75	40%30 W · 45 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed No	42c	750$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcce8…df43backed Yes	13c	728.47$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.96	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x141e…8c87backed No	40c	707.85$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.08	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.60per pick	40cpaid	+147.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…4afdbacked Yes	63c	634.92$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d92…b63dbacked Yes	41c	609.76$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed No	76c	608.58$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.06	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x821c…ffc7backed Yes	16c	600$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10dd…d892backed Yes	20c	593.3$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.66	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked No	75c	569.64$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe910…0ecdbacked Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-3.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked No	42c	555$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.9	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x220a…1795backed Yes	37c	547.61$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.26	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe8…0ec5backed Yes	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f3…ae51backed Yes	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	71	40.8%29 W · 42 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3673…ce22backed Yes	18c	488.89$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc493…b50ebacked Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked No	46c	434.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.78	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9768…1b82backed Yes	70c	428.57$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes	27c	400$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.8	64	25%16 W · 48 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes	16c	385$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed No	74c	380$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.8	116	58.6%68 W · 48 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x622d…2ebebacked Yes	18c	357.61$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.37	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc53c…0eb4backed No	68c	349.01$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.43	76	52.6%40 W · 36 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc631…76f6backed Yes	63c	346.15$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.6	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc728…9c2dbacked No	51c	342.98$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.38	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x021a…56cbbacked Yes	15c	331.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0258…13bfbacked Yes	55c	325$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	181	62.4%113 W · 68 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8b…e99fbacked No	73c	311.65$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.29	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	-7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Yes	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-34%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a9…6b43backed Yes	23c	300$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+5.8wins	+0.25per pick	14cpaid	+155.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5877…d3debacked No	66c	300$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.28	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf353…2878backed Yes	43c	300$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac45…ea33backed Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…224fbacked Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25d1…8484backed Yes	56c	261.31$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed No	54c	250$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?this page
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $85K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in September?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $112K in September?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $114K in September?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $116K in September?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event