Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf108cf2c114c0063e71df90f7726a00879a658193ab35abf956a4657085fd25c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $700,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $721,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $700,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 11c | 50,805$5,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,543.1 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 19c | 23,667$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,426.23 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 13c | 23,007$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.26 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f8…8d75backed Yes | 10c | 22,767$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…15e0backed Yes | 25c | 20,221$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 9c | 14,124$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.81 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 10c | 13,414$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.76 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed No | 77c | 12,738$9,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 14c | 12,183$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.04 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 21c | 12,154$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.81 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 10c | 11,353$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.3 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 21c | 10,569$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.58 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked No | 70c | 9,233$6,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.68 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 9,168$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.21 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 45c | 8,820$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,851 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 10c | 7,695$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.9 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905d…ada9backed Yes | 0c | 7,224$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…10a8backed Yes | 12c | 6,689$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 24c | 6,240$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.21 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 27c | 6,116$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.04 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 57c | 5,931$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 56c | 5,099$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.7 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked No | 46c | 4,690$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.8 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…ddcabacked Yes | 55c | 4,390$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf65backed Yes | 6c | 4,336$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 3,888$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 49c | 3,603$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.49 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 8c | 3,600$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…70d3backed Yes | 4c | 3,410$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 71c | 3,259$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.35 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 60c | 3,042$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.12 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 9c | 2,500$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 12c | 2,439$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374d…9f76backed Yes | 11c | 2,345$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec1…ddfebacked Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10dd…d892backed Yes | 16c | 2,021$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 14c | 2,015$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.51 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb70…7a87backed Yes | 12c | 1,961$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed No | 67c | 1,904$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.04 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,841$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.64 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17aa…cb3dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,500$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…eb00backed No | 79c | 1,350$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…ce4ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…4815backed Yes | 17c | 1,200$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,131$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.79 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…7c1fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,087$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…b50ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,071$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990c…5ccfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,050$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 19cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…cf04backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed No | 69c | 1,000$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.71 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…3ff3backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1730…9199backed Yes | 50c | 998$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe910…0ecdbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x821c…ffc7backed No | 70c | 900$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde75…8596backed Yes | 5c | 815.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 5c | 786$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked Yes | 20c | 777$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.29 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…9b22backed Yes | 58c | 691.21$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…df43backed Yes | 10c | 688.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed Yes | 52c | 678.6$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.09 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5914…88fcbacked Yes | 15c | 662.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967c…5d9fbacked Yes | 67c | 601.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 44cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…4afdbacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…a376backed No | 74c | 600$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220a…1795backed Yes | 20c | 588.17$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.02 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…879dbacked Yes | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6201…cd96backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed No | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…224fbacked Yes | 11c | 471.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked No | 74c | 468.57$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.67 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 46c | 385.17$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.15 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 74c | 380.26$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed No | 63c | 360$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.85 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…b594backed Yes | 56c | 357.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 65c | 348$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.84 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…a7abbacked Yes | 14c | 347$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d29…414dbacked Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…29a2backed Yes | 6c | 321.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…955bbacked Yes | 13c | 305.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…6b43backed Yes | 16c | 301.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 14cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d1…e235backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…1602backed No | 68c | 293.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked No | 66c | 291.12$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 52c | 289.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…27b1backed Yes | 5c | 288.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x136d…e6f7backed Yes | 8c | 259.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…d536backed Yes | 10c | 257.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…9c2dbacked No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…5615backed Yes | 9c | 214.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Yes | 15c | 202.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb030…9afdbacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 54c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653a…ce1ebacked Yes | 50c | 199$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f0…d33dbacked Yes | 6c | 186.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…807cbacked No | 61c | 184.92$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $112K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $114K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $116K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.