Will Bitcoin reach $116K in September?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c80387a81639d14032728576c379452b6cbaf6dd6292f48ffdd0eac0c22849d

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 11, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $464,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $433,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,459 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x330d…1639backed No	0c	124,719$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.19	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b52…4db0backed No	16c	19,927$3,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,281.01	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+7.7wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcde8…018ebacked No	19c	15,000$2,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,827.49	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	39cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed No	27c	11,055$3,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,033.08	581	26.9%156 W · 425 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes	77c	10,326$7,964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,361.91	246	54.9%135 W · 111 L	+16.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed No	48c	10,000$4,798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,798.42	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked No	24c	9,960$2,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,344.23	150	23.3%35 W · 115 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f8…8d75backed No	19c	9,289$1,721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,720.78	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc53c…0eb4backed No	16c	9,187$1,448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,447.54	76	52.6%40 W · 36 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xadd7…a74dbacked Yes	59c	8,560$5,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,519.19	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c6…043dbacked No	12c	6,316$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.32	113	16.8%19 W · 94 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked No	19c	5,600$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.41	157	54.8%86 W · 71 L	+8.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2adf…d89cbacked No	16c	5,504$908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$908.16	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+16.5wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2027…6d60backed No	13c	5,243$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.35	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+41%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a55…cfc4backed No	17c	5,000$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.96	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+5.9wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+34%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb49…a376backed No	16c	4,750$762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$761.7	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc453…2bcdbacked No	16c	4,230$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.24	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked No	18c	4,125$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.81	550	32.5%179 W · 371 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…b2d3backed No	20c	4,100$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3f…16a6backed No	7c	4,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	78	10.3%8 W · 70 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x097e…b149backed No	23c	4,000$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-31%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed No	26c	3,898$1,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,018.73	638	35.4%226 W · 412 L	+18.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x821c…ffc7backed No	13c	3,700$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.18	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd09b…78e9backed Yes	68c	3,679$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,178.76	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No	11c	3,541$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.52	377	45.9%173 W · 204 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b3a…783ebacked No	30c	3,333$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-26%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed No	15c	3,033$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.95	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	29cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…942cbacked No	27c	2,997$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked No	35c	2,500$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	115	54.8%63 W · 52 L	+15.1wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes	72c	1,609$1,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.52	222	16.2%36 W · 186 L	-14.9wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6eec…3e48backed No	17c	1,573$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.73	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8803…eb1dbacked No	21c	1,529$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.86	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-38%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed Yes	71c	1,450$1,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.5	194	39.2%76 W · 118 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No	28c	1,249$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.72	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	28cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb089…b6a5backed Yes	67c	1,178$789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.64	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x430a…ff11backed No	41c	1,162$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.83	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93d7…7423backed Yes	57c	1,152$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.27	348	48.6%169 W · 179 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked No	13c	1,044$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.92	878	28.4%249 W · 629 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c5…3533backed Yes	73c	1,000$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4775…c57dbacked No	6c	1,000$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fed…6ffbbacked No	30c	1,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x526e…3bd0backed Yes	56c	860.77$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.74	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-26%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked No	46c	800$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368	114	42.1%48 W · 66 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes	64c	781$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.16	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed No	2c	613.11$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	103	0%0 W · 103 L	-7.9wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd68e…4afdbacked Yes	66c	606.06$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.06	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c9…9c10backed No	31c	600$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	143	37.1%53 W · 90 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x707e…1960backed No	34c	554.29$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.48	225	50.2%113 W · 112 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked No	34c	500$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	71	40.8%29 W · 42 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes	63c	498.41$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.7	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ee0…0bc7backed No	21c	490.2$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x220a…1795backed No	25c	467.16$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.61	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	74c	444.17$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.44	81	16%13 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes	68c	444$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.08	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f0…0234backed No	37c	405.41$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d6…f2ffbacked No	30c	400$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dec…50cbbacked No	28c	400$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x939e…448cbacked Yes	74c	311.74$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.37	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	68cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…9f71backed No	16c	277.88$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked No	35c	277$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.95	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1dc9…c30bbacked No	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa84f…bc44backed No	36c	250.53$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.19	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed No	25c	250$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	+13.9wins	+0.20per pick	29cpaid	+58.8%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xc92d…2497backed No	17c	235.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x894c…246abacked Yes	70c	231.69$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.51	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x484c…017ebacked Yes	75c	176.41$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad7d…03bfbacked Yes	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e6…f749backed No	28c	171.87$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc4…768fbacked Yes	65c	160$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a4…52b5backed Yes	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb9…807cbacked No	51c	150$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes	60c	135.93$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.97	305	31.1%95 W · 210 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	15c	134.26$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.81	648	12%78 W · 570 L	-61.6wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c27…1555backed Yes	57c	120$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.3	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf924…85bebacked No	20c	110$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2510…60adbacked No	48c	108.59$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.84	65	64.6%42 W · 23 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7012…4035backed Yes	63c	102.29$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.85	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.31per pick	60cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked No	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	82	39%32 W · 50 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.3	75	37.3%28 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ad…959cbacked Yes	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.3	36	69.4%25 W · 11 L	+5.5wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6edc…6975backed No	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89d1…ae28backed Yes	66c	91.09$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.09	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc932…3545backed Yes	79c	86.97$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.01	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+21%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb71c…dd68backed No	49c	81.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13bc…b26dbacked No	38c	78.95$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+5.2wins	+0.25per pick	37cpaid	+51.3%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6c06…2ec0backed No	37c	68$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.16	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…4736backed No	32c	62.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca4b…2410backed No	27c	59$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9567…0fc1backed Yes	71c	56.34$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.34	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5859…7aadbacked No	38c	52.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…fbecbacked Yes	57c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+5.0wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+25%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1085…ff63backed No	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac6…6cf8backed Yes	56c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551b…dfd1backed Yes	64c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed Yes	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	179	53.6%96 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Yes	68c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.87	73	57.5%42 W · 31 L	+5.9wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Yes	64c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	+22.9wins	+0.22per pick	24cpaid	+94.2%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0xe693…0f2dbacked No	40c	49.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7682…07fdbacked Yes	76c	48.66$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48f7…e40cbacked Yes	66c	47$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.98	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bitcoin reach $116K in September?this page
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $85K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in September?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $112K in September?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $114K in September?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bitcoin reach $116K in September?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event