Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf041047f684fe5ce3bbc34d7fc768b91df1cca6ff9a9252b10cc65647514f70b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,286,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,208,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,286,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 10c | 65,000$6,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,302.93 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 9c | 61,647$5,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,482.02 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…70e7backed Yes | 6c | 42,851$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 10c | 30,470$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.69 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 9c | 29,514$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.43 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…f9a4backed Yes | 2c | 25,393$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 19,998$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 10c | 17,839$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.15 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 11c | 15,819$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.2 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…7182backed Yes | 2c | 15,743$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 7c | 14,522$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.5 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 9c | 14,509$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.57 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…8108backed Yes | 0c | 13,998$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 8c | 13,982$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…ad82backed Yes | 11c | 12,144$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.78 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…3727backed Yes | 9c | 11,799$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…4346backed Yes | 12c | 11,460$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Yes | 0c | 11,147$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…17e4backed Yes | 8c | 11,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 8c | 10,880$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.58 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…72ffbacked Yes | 12c | 8,842$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.75 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 8c | 8,117$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.23 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 7c | 8,065$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.68 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 1c | 7,984$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…2625backed Yes | 6c | 7,893$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23a…9a75backed Yes | 7c | 7,644$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c74…c63ebacked Yes | 8c | 7,530$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,500$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 2c | 7,398$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.85 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…b8cfbacked Yes | 11c | 6,987$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Yes | 11c | 6,551$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Yes | 9c | 6,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…51dabacked Yes | 9c | 5,264$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.75 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 9c | 5,200$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.72 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb791…ab57backed Yes | 1c | 5,095$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…535ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,903$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…a948backed Yes | 8c | 4,851$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2161…f852backed Yes | 10c | 4,805$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…7158backed Yes | 4c | 4,684$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…f842backed Yes | 7c | 4,563$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 11c | 4,174$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.12 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 6c | 3,999$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 6c | 3,961$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.23 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 11c | 3,899$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 3c | 3,773$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 12c | 3,670$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.78 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…f464backed Yes | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…ed9abacked Yes | 1c | 3,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…9285backed Yes | 1c | 3,102$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 10c | 2,953$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.85 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 8c | 2,906$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.07 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes | 11c | 2,839$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…5d61backed Yes | 13c | 2,389$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa015…80bbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,345$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,149$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6699backed Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,054$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…ae28backed Yes | 8c | 2,006$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1284…bbcdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,975$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbe…1c89backed Yes | 10c | 1,969$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…9c15backed Yes | 13c | 1,800$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Yes | 10c | 1,564$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…35d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,558$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…ef24backed Yes | 8c | 1,550$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Yes | 9c | 1,508$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…619abacked Yes | 8c | 1,507$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d92…b63dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,455$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc79…fa6bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,437$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x627b…7d19backed Yes | 15c | 1,334$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c7…fa37backed Yes | 9c | 1,333$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…45a9backed Yes | 13c | 1,300$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x457d…0f36backed Yes | 2c | 1,291$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…b404backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6e…c9dbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…7c1fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 2c | 1,133$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…288ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8212backed Yes | 1c | 1,062$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 7c | 1,027$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +519.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…7fc0backed Yes | 9c | 1,023$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a47…6788backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe540…7106backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec19…a9eabacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0892…48d8backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 6c | 983.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…7bf0backed Yes | 9c | 954.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…0d59backed Yes | 8c | 916.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 8c | 900$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…df43backed Yes | 7c | 825.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 12c | 825$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…d0a6backed Yes | 13c | 781.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 7c | 766.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $112K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $114K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $116K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.