Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c622a53d851df48074d872c65b8446cde92d332efb1769e849646f89ae4aee9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $720,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $757,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $720,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 34c | 37,869$12,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,857.66 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…522dbacked Yes | 28c | 31,312$8,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,767.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 77c | 13,309$10,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 76c | 13,000$9,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.63 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 73c | 12,473$9,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.79 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 1c | 12,433$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.33 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 5c | 9,638$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…38acbacked Yes | 31c | 9,072$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.44 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…c336backed Yes | 4c | 8,753$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf65backed Yes | 3c | 8,376$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 73c | 7,918$5,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.18 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…775fbacked No | 77c | 7,836$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 7,689$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.23 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 4c | 7,017$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.04 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 23c | 6,385$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.21 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 18c | 6,225$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.73 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed Yes | 8c | 5,855$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.95 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked No | 74c | 5,821$4,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.85 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 47c | 5,696$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.45 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 3c | 5,615$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…2fe1backed Yes | 23c | 5,500$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 8c | 5,405$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.44 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 5c | 5,300$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.99 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…ddcabacked Yes | 45c | 5,277$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.89 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…ed1fbacked Yes | 45c | 4,433$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1e…08f2backed Yes | 10c | 4,402$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbb…16abbacked Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…1010backed Yes | 49c | 3,920$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked No | 78c | 3,740$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.77 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 4c | 3,700$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…a476backed Yes | 1c | 3,488$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a9…860cbacked Yes | 9c | 3,194$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…402fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…d2abbacked Yes | 2c | 2,881$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…70d3backed Yes | 2c | 2,784$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 78c | 2,718$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.46 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 78c | 2,585$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.61 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 76c | 2,500$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.21 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a8…a9d3backed Yes | 5c | 2,159$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d67…81f2backed Yes | 2c | 2,068$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0282…d571backed Yes | 5c | 2,048$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 3c | 2,041$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…535ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,033$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374d…9f76backed Yes | 9c | 1,738$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1216…2ed7backed No | 80c | 1,647$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,631$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a5…55e9backed Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde75…8596backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6f…25f8backed Yes | 37c | 1,362$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…8c9ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,251$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked No | 64c | 1,234$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.24 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 6c | 1,195$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc496…559ebacked No | 80c | 1,193$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 1c | 1,121$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…c089backed Yes | 7c | 1,110$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed Yes | 4c | 1,100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 72c | 1,045$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.05 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…224fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,041$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 3c | 1,029$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +13.9wins | +0.20per pick | 29cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…aa40backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8e…0f12backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…df43backed Yes | 5c | 997.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b50…77a2backed Yes | 5c | 839.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed Yes | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc71…eb87backed No | 69c | 792.23$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…7029backed Yes | 49c | 779.77$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760a…7409backed Yes | 3c | 761.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x295d…accebacked Yes | 7c | 679.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 67c | 635.11$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.37 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fe…067dbacked Yes | 2c | 590.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a90…f319backed Yes | 19c | 589.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +104%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…d6f3backed Yes | 3c | 588.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked No | 63c | 580$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.1 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +13.6wins | +0.32per pick | 41cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…4afdbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6e…c9dbbacked Yes | 20c | 540$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…14febacked Yes | 5c | 528.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843b…2673backed Yes | 25c | 512.6$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63fb…4367backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…5cebbacked Yes | 8c | 499.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 31c | 461.08$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce7…f553backed Yes | 11c | 459.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…104fbacked No | 59c | 426.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.59 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yes | 5c | 422.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…622fbacked Yes | 2c | 420$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked Yes | 9c | 387.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…62eabacked No | 79c | 380$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…fd7cbacked Yes | 25c | 344$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f27…b9e2backed Yes | 3c | 342.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…70afbacked Yes | 5c | 338.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…d536backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…b404backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $112K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $114K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $116K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.