Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd00dfb95a5f74426ca8d6d6d095f779a2e5e17059dde0cd2dbb1eac16eeca73a

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 1, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,413,192
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,249,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,413,192 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8131…7eefbacked Yes	56c	70,547$39,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,715.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f8…8d75backed Yes	23c	46,217$10,639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,638.65	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5113…e446backed Yes	0c	35,226$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.23	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes	39c	31,285$12,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,067.21	878	28.4%249 W · 629 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf98b…bfc5backed No	78c	28,333$22,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,247.66	246	54.9%135 W · 111 L	+16.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94da…2bf1backed No	64c	24,269$15,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,778.7	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes	19c	21,541$3,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,992.03	351	23.9%84 W · 267 L	+15.9wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x614e…8388backed Yes	0c	21,336$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	14cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes	0c	20,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes	24c	17,400$4,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,105.49	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes	39c	17,049$6,668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,668.31	222	16.2%36 W · 186 L	-14.9wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes	46c	16,857$7,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,799.76	184	25%46 W · 138 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes	25c	15,539$3,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,885.55	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8803…eb1dbacked No	37c	14,845$5,531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,314.21	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-38%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd643…0dd4backed No	62c	14,152$8,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,344.99	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes	38c	13,590$5,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,163.59	638	35.4%226 W · 412 L	+18.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7152…faacbacked Yes	0c	12,089$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.3	94	0%0 W · 94 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd5…cf04backed Yes	60c	11,650$7,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,022.99	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaef9…3b47backed Yes	0c	11,197$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2adf…d89cbacked No	54c	11,075$5,968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,107.48	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+16.5wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed Yes	11c	10,515$1,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,188	280	21.1%59 W · 221 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…04cebacked Yes	31c	10,002$3,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,071	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-3.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x877f…7acbbacked No	57c	10,000$5,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,300	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+4.2wins	+0.28per pick	52cpaid	+57.2%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x79f8…9f03backed No	54c	10,000$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,600	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	120	25%30 W · 90 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcde8…018ebacked No	29c	9,202$2,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,532.69	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	39cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3238…3291backed No	76c	8,725$6,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,112.44	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.18per pick	71cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes	44c	8,722$3,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,820.46	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	24cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes	17c	8,655$1,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,463.16	258	24%62 W · 196 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc9…7361backed Yes	3c	8,337$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	83	2.4%2 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50a5…bafebacked Yes	0c	7,899$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	234	11.1%26 W · 208 L	+9.2wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes	20c	7,358$1,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,496.87	143	37.1%53 W · 90 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1eb3…92e2backed No	35c	7,150$2,503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,647.5	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.19per pick	59cpaid	+59.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b2…17e4backed Yes	12c	7,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.99	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49d5…2e07backed No	30c	6,828$2,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,779.93	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf985…d7bcbacked No	44c	6,787$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,786.9	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc037…7240backed No	47c	6,429$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,429.23	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes	19c	6,400$1,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,213	150	23.3%35 W · 115 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2154…715cbacked No	76c	6,000$4,535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,464.99	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes	25c	6,000$1,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,489.99	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+5.1wins	+0.22per pick	26cpaid	+84.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Yes	30c	5,988$1,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,801.9	172	29.7%51 W · 121 L	-13.0wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd09b…78e9backed No	69c	5,806$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,805.78	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	5,788$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.45	1,844	4.4%81 W · 1,763 L	-13.1wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes	32c	5,427$1,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,757.32	581	26.9%156 W · 425 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a9…677ebacked Yes	2c	5,263$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed No	47c	5,131$2,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,743.1	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	29cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2fe…71d6backed Yes	13c	5,005$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2027…6d60backed No	27c	4,991$1,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,641.74	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+41%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd561…9b7bbacked No	58c	4,962$2,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,061.5	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c6…043dbacked No	55c	4,951$2,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,218.19	113	16.8%19 W · 94 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes	32c	4,650$1,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,466.76	128	24.2%31 W · 97 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde75…8596backed Yes	12c	4,643$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.54	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	11cpaid	-23%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes	34c	4,200$1,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,448.66	550	32.5%179 W · 371 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes	42c	4,000$1,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,699.24	138	63%87 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd78…dcd8backed Yes	26c	4,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73d3…e9fabacked Yes	13c	4,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Yes	13c	4,000$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	33c	3,749$1,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,223.99	81	16%13 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes	13c	3,582$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.59	78	10.3%8 W · 70 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed No	73c	3,425$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924.66	64	68.8%44 W · 20 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce10…51d4backed No	55c	3,401$1,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,532.1	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb855…c1bebacked No	50c	3,215$1,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,617.73	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+351.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No	77c	3,210$2,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.15	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-8.8wins	-0.27per pick	43cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa455…1c6fbacked Yes	25c	3,198$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.49	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	19cpaid	-79.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8f3…4c06backed No	59c	3,075$1,826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,248.39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ba…c0eebacked No	69c	3,030$2,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.3	26	80.8%21 W · 5 L	+4.5wins	+0.17per pick	63cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14ec…1b38backed Yes	28c	3,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x804f…5eb1backed Yes	14c	3,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes	17c	3,000$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.9	64	25%16 W · 48 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8e7…ef3bbacked No	66c	2,924$1,921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,003.1	20	85%17 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	73cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked No	28c	2,650$751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,899.5	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked No	52c	2,527$1,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,217.09	28	75%21 W · 7 L	+3.9wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x220a…1795backed Yes	44c	2,473$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.99	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes	1c	2,457$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.23	80	10%8 W · 72 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-52%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes	53c	2,274$1,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200.9	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-21%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5bf…8763backed Yes	11c	2,221$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.23	42	31%13 W · 29 L	+4.1wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	14c	2,200$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-75.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9615…38acbacked Yes	15c	2,011$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa601…d54ebacked Yes	27c	2,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d92…b63dbacked Yes	33c	1,992$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13cb…a48abacked No	32c	1,884$595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,289.4	99	13.1%13 W · 86 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17aa…cb3dbacked Yes	28c	1,801$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.15	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.9wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28ad…b2d3backed No	56c	1,800$1,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57fa…fa90backed Yes	65c	1,800$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,169.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	68cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed No	59c	1,703$1,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$698.39	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.22per pick	35cpaid	+60.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd6b…d1cabacked Yes	12c	1,700$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked No	61c	1,676$1,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.19	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-29%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x421b…ac12backed Yes	41c	1,508$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.37	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Yes	62c	1,500$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Yes	67c	1,494$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.98	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No	21c	1,409$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,108.73	127	36.2%46 W · 81 L	+9.1wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab81…5ecdbacked Yes	45c	1,400$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes	79c	1,399$1,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,105	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73d3…86f1backed Yes	15c	1,347$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3e…f2fabacked No	39c	1,282$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.01	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8b…e99fbacked No	55c	1,266$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.66	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	-7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd4…325cbacked No	79c	1,266$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.82	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	17c	1,250$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.5	98	24.5%24 W · 74 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc25c…36fcbacked Yes	39c	1,226$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.2	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cd7…95f6backed Yes	8c	1,200$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.09	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?this page
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $85K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in September?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $112K in September?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $114K in September?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $116K in September?Yes won
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?No won
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event