Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x041d508024e4092bf7c77a961350949058309ba8c1d5ea66e33a6f9139b716c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,632,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,729,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,632,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 14c | 82,658$11,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,377.49 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 2c | 37,684$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.9 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 17c | 37,275$6,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,490.26 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 4c | 34,336$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 1c | 33,193$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.03 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 14c | 30,458$4,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,409.22 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 19c | 28,491$5,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,454.03 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed No | 79c | 25,305$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,305.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…8108backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…7182backed Yes | 5c | 22,151$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 9c | 21,955$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.29 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…d2abbacked Yes | 1c | 20,714$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 21c | 20,148$4,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,188.5 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,883$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…aee4backed Yes | 1c | 19,289$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f8…8d75backed No | 78c | 18,232$14,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.85 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 77c | 17,904$13,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,174.17 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 20c | 16,066$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.02 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…51dabacked Yes | 22c | 15,974$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.75 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 15,005$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…667fbacked Yes | 1c | 14,521$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 29c | 14,041$4,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,008 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 76c | 12,990$9,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.53 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 8c | 12,000$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.61 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…ff2bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,668$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…1d80backed Yes | 18c | 10,392$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.21 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 3c | 10,250$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fe…067dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,225$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…c9e3backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…bd2dbacked Yes | 31c | 9,528$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 25c | 8,990$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.97 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 5c | 8,767$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.21 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5791…266dbacked No | 77c | 8,020$6,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 7,988$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 76c | 7,769$5,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.3 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddf…b6f5backed Yes | 2c | 7,427$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 0c | 7,403$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 17c | 6,993$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.11 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…fdbcbacked Yes | 7c | 6,609$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…74d6backed No | 79c | 6,365$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6306…852abacked Yes | 8c | 6,088$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.58 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…d1cabacked Yes | 20c | 6,000$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5c…a435backed Yes | 1c | 5,983$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 77c | 5,578$4,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.4 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 17c | 5,525$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.21 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…72ffbacked Yes | 20c | 5,250$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…9285backed Yes | 1c | 4,613$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…f842backed Yes | 18c | 4,496$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…7158backed Yes | 10c | 4,400$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…ad82backed Yes | 24c | 4,122$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.19 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…dcd8backed No | 79c | 4,102$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed No | 73c | 4,085$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.79 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,967$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.08 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes | 15c | 3,901$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd07b…1898backed No | 76c | 3,857$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…a7abbacked Yes | 1c | 3,857$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 23c | 3,492$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 18c | 3,335$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.63 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…1339backed Yes | 4c | 3,312$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 5c | 3,097$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.69 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…4715backed Yes | 0c | 3,036$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 3c | 2,945$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…944ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,820$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…5e16backed Yes | 18c | 2,731$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…55cabacked Yes | 7c | 2,677$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 79c | 2,527$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.49 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Yes | 25c | 2,522$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.95 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…8d3ebacked No | 77c | 2,099$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.84 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…4c7abacked Yes | 27c | 1,832$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9399…e1f8backed Yes | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…37c1backed Yes | 2c | 1,735$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 18c | 1,679$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.43 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 21c | 1,678$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.29 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…3c19backed Yes | 23c | 1,530$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…c707backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc87…2765backed No | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 30c | 1,458$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.36 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbe…1c89backed Yes | 25c | 1,418$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 23c | 1,334$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.52 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…ffa2backed Yes | 4c | 1,306$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 9c | 1,300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe93b…ac2ebacked No | 79c | 1,258$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 17c | 1,200$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe470…b6e2backed Yes | 27c | 1,164$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 2c | 1,066$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 25c | 1,040$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 76c | 1,036$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.85 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d1…fd35backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff62…1148backed No | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3370…0757backed No | 78c | 999.99$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x457d…0f36backed Yes | 13c | 962.2$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 7c | 950$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 80c | 916.81$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…eb4bbacked No | 75c | 855.76$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0782…069fbacked Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1284…bbcdbacked Yes | 4c | 825.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $112K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $114K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $116K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.