Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6daae57159856ffa30ec6ea36710acadfe5deb5b6b882f9f1efe8dcd90290a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,105,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $928,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,105,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea0a…8340backed Yes | 2c | 93,000$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 1c | 48,000$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 5c | 46,904$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.31 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…f9a4backed Yes | 1c | 40,778$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807e…50d6backed Yes | 0c | 30,645$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 4c | 25,274$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 5c | 20,503$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.42 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 0c | 19,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 5c | 18,971$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.3 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2161…f852backed Yes | 5c | 18,729$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…7182backed Yes | 1c | 16,759$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 8c | 13,237$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 3c | 11,776$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.3 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…d2abbacked Yes | 0c | 10,977$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…ad82backed Yes | 5c | 10,114$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.68 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x670c…d5fabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…2fe1backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 4c | 9,491$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.73 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 9,195$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.18 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 5c | 8,860$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.16 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd2…0261backed Yes | 3c | 8,251$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Yes | 5c | 8,203$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…6f8fbacked Yes | 5c | 7,255$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d750backed Yes | 5c | 6,605$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 1c | 6,416$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…700dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,221$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…86a2backed Yes | 5c | 5,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…535ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,339$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…7158backed Yes | 1c | 5,128$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 4c | 5,095$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +519.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…f842backed Yes | 4c | 4,811$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa1…ffb7backed Yes | 4c | 4,795$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,651$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 6c | 4,549$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.62 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 1c | 4,497$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…7360backed Yes | 4c | 4,433$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1284…bbcdbacked Yes | 1c | 4,286$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca4…acd5backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 3c | 3,685$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…55cabacked Yes | 4c | 3,648$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…8a52backed Yes | 4c | 3,459$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…832abacked Yes | 5c | 3,404$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 3c | 3,221$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…0ec8backed Yes | 3c | 3,123$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7222…bbeabacked Yes | 5c | 2,798$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf712…4bd0backed Yes | 1c | 2,643$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457d…0f36backed Yes | 1c | 2,518$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 4c | 2,515$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa73…7361backed Yes | 4c | 2,308$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…df43backed Yes | 3c | 2,279$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…288ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,174$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4609…4fdcbacked Yes | 6c | 2,104$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…4346backed Yes | 7c | 2,100$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 5c | 2,070$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…fe69backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4c…eda2backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…e346backed Yes | 1c | 1,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…e8bebacked Yes | 4c | 1,793$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…da7ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,785$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…f378backed Yes | 5c | 1,480$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…5333backed Yes | 6c | 1,363$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…46c9backed Yes | 7c | 1,277$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 2c | 1,273$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 8c | 1,239$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d89cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,236$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +16.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,230$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Yes | 4c | 1,147$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3971…f876backed Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,139$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…4ab8backed Yes | 6c | 1,059$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…7fc0backed Yes | 4c | 1,033$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…320fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…c9e3backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6699backed Yes | 5c | 986.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 4c | 849.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…e937backed Yes | 2c | 833.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3e…4886backed Yes | 4c | 802.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Yes | 6c | 769.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…9725backed Yes | 4c | 634.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 3c | 599.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…fa6bbacked Yes | 5c | 591.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…d08cbacked Yes | 4c | 581.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdb…aad8backed Yes | 4c | 567.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb472…9436backed Yes | 4c | 541.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…82ebbacked Yes | 6c | 509.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0892…48d8backed Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 3c | 494.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…ae28backed Yes | 4c | 490$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…675ebacked Yes | 3c | 486.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…3a36backed Yes | 4c | 463.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e4…e73dbacked Yes | 4c | 454.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…a724backed Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…7d62backed Yes | 6c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Yes | 7c | 395$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $112K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $114K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $116K in September?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.