TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x214c…eb00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$28.56
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$6.8
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$15.5
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$20.12
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.32
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.47
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.4
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$34.28
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66%+$40.88
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.02
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Rawalpindi Pindizbacked Multan Sultans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$11.87
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$26.16
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$23.47
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.44
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$29.78
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$80.29
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$24.44
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$45.75
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$27.36
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$38.3
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.29
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.01
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+45.6%+$10.37
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.7%+$38.61
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$220.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$326.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$83.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+32.7%+$48.09
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+56.4%+$324.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $103K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,073Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$277
Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-53.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-66.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$117.3
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$47.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.44
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$50.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+43.8%+$35.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.