TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,537,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,506,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,537,057 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba8c…e77dbacked Yes0c91,117$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c33,268$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.7428113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked No50c31,920$15,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,979.0219535.4%69 W · 126 L-13.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x049b…5a12backed Yes4c26,320$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.15387.9%3 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+403.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb77b…70a5backed Yes2c22,000$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes3c21,827$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.091031.9%2 W · 101 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes16c21,140$3,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,435.9587828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes0c20,920$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.59740%0 W · 74 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d5e…7f71backed Yes5c20,058$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba2c…fddabacked Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1383…0516backed Yes24c18,358$4,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,461.042825%7 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+526.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c98…ef88backed Yes1c17,945$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.1494.1%2 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-79.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…e383backed Yes4c17,242$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.75904.4%4 W · 86 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x573e…703cbacked Yes11c17,214$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.1330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Yes27c14,941$4,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,108.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf08f…6e0abacked Yes16c14,777$2,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,412.9960%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes4c14,243$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551488.8%13 W · 135 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa321…11e3backed Yes0c13,234$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes8c12,608$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.3935123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1850…25efbacked Yes4c12,395$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2750%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Yes0c12,259$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes21c12,232$2,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.3563835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes4c11,835$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.921466.2%9 W · 137 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Yes9c10,000$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.950%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6294…33f3backed No80c9,265$7,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.226657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaea3…fe61backed No77c8,023$6,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.723666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xae69…6e71backed Yes5c7,758$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.3490%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c7,687$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.442922.1%6 W · 286 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc409…4d2abacked Yes2c7,488$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.68480%0 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x997c…251ebacked No79c7,346$5,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.0311720.5%24 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddae…52c4backed Yes1c7,340$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.713218.8%6 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick4cpaid+842%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes23c7,236$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.9614337.1%53 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…3772backed Yes12c7,094$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.142412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fc…3837backed Yes24c6,977$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.0640%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No50c6,816$3,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,410.54966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…0ac6backed No71c6,500$4,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8554470.5%31 W · 13 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+21.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Yes20c6,408$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.6922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+97.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f32…efb8backed Yes1c6,340$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.99430%0 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea29…43e3backed Yes9c6,210$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.214330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…5b82backed Yes4c5,833$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.16160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3368…9f2ebacked Yes1c5,666$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x739a…552cbacked Yes1c4,950$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%0 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes18c4,896$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.41180%0 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes7c4,600$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.83925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc34…c663backed Yes3c4,273$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.191811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-67%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5a…df23backed Yes48c4,187$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002050%10 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6402…2fa1backed Yes8c4,143$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.87643.1%2 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-72.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacca…08b1backed Yes49c4,100$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.992850%14 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+81%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9574…2e6ebacked Yes3c4,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100160%0 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10e8…c707backed Yes9c3,890$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.734015%6 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes11c3,832$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.58540%34 W · 51 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c8d…299cbacked No64c3,645$2,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.24047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b8…1c0dbacked Yes34c3,600$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes15c2,978$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.291288.6%11 W · 117 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed No55c2,973$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-46.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c1…bdb9backed Yes59c2,904$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.493935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes2c2,900$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.880%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed36…e096backed Yes34c2,675$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9005226.9%14 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-40.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Yes13c2,600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342240%0 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6606…fa0ebacked Yes27c2,563$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.511050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8356…61e1backed Yes19c2,427$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.1570%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff1…ed1fbacked Yes50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002763%17 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd133…ef27backed Yes1c2,131$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7470%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x276b…9116backed Yes15c2,100$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315205%1 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a9…9bd0backed Yes27c2,013$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c55…ddfbbacked Yes6c2,003$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1950%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd1…099ebacked Yes12c1,984$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.051421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-55%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0abf…e1e4backed No51c1,907$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa813…04fbbacked Yes37c1,715$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.879964.6%64 W · 35 L+17.0wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+43.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes25c1,677$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.7613117.6%23 W · 108 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a40…1413backed Yes1c1,550$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-66%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59fc…bcb4backed Yes9c1,500$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0099…386ebacked Yes13c1,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Yes3c1,482$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.772512%3 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-57.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a9c…97a4backed Yes6c1,444$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.96214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-93%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked No36c1,407$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.92070%14 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2220…5db4backed Yes27c1,373$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-71.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe983…093abacked Yes73c1,337$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9701428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3822…b720backed Yes45c1,300$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5868634.9%30 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes20c1,300$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641015.9%6 W · 95 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+121.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8d…2a69backed No76c1,293$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.486100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+81.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62126.6%14 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick6cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8888…0b39backed No72c1,191$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.533234.4%11 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3301…4dd8backed Yes5c1,180$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.61024.9%5 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1955…9865backed Yes19c1,057$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.862114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-70.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d6b…5e31backed Yes13c1,028$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-82.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e0…e28fbacked Yes29c1,020$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501333.8%5 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-83.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30c3…1331backed No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2703831.6%12 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x916d…bbdcbacked Yes11c1,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d73…13c6backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+69.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb0b…78c6backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5106…2bacbacked No69c999.59$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.371050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x084a…2a51backed Yes17c979.47$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes2c951.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.46590%0 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes3c900$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec10…6eb9backed Yes12c900$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10840%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…6feabacked No79c899.99$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1873171%22 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13b6…c633backed Yes1c885$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1660%0 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.