Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bfe6966da5da12dc39dec67b22375fd5bf21f3c6e9cbaae28d926708eac222f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $779,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $700,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $779,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x553e…77d8backed Yes | 1c | 237,055$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 1c | 52,749$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 31,165$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…e94fbacked Yes | 0c | 23,733$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…669ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,683$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -47%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…5585backed Yes | 1c | 10,244$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1ceebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…5b82backed Yes | 1c | 9,373$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 2c | 9,254$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.53 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 4c | 7,432$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.86 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 6,118$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…01b8backed Yes | 0c | 6,081$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,708$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.67 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…6bbfbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…0516backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +526.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…cce7backed Yes | 1c | 4,316$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Yes | 3c | 3,888$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 1c | 3,852$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ce…5e65backed Yes | 0c | 3,531$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,484$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5494…85febacked Yes | 2c | 3,401$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…4e83backed Yes | 1c | 3,274$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…c0efbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 1c | 2,995$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fb…4ababacked Yes | 2c | 2,109$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8984…9913backed Yes | 1c | 2,060$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c31…09c2backed Yes | 3c | 2,056$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…e838backed Yes | 1c | 2,037$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3fbfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,990$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7e…875dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,984$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…3116backed Yes | 2c | 1,977$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 4c | 1,947$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 4c | 1,837$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9167…5338backed Yes | 2c | 1,828$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08bc…91febacked Yes | 2c | 1,800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf59…43dfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,795$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 2c | 1,706$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 1,669$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 2c | 1,621$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 1,483$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,431$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…c413backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbc…cf4fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe616…a30abacked Yes | 4c | 1,300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…783dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 4c | 1,084$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…50a5backed Yes | 1c | 1,083$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…d9b1backed Yes | 4c | 1,034$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e6…03e2backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…cc00backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…76d1backed Yes | 2c | 999.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed Yes | 1c | 954.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b94…ecf4backed Yes | 1c | 867.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 3c | 699.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 3c | 483.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 5c | 435.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7083…53ecbacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…2d87backed Yes | 6c | 325.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…d5d3backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…e853backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.