Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x237f3ae164efd4ee89484c318a07e598c17ce6c9b327a5b76da9062076199a08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $272,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94d7…b8e0backed Yes | 2c | 30,129$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 5c | 19,253$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.38 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 2c | 12,875$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 2c | 9,481$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.28 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 4c | 7,667$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.33 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 4c | 6,953$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.34 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…a286backed Yes | 10c | 6,336$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…0bcdbacked Yes | 2c | 5,801$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac4…57c2backed Yes | 13c | 5,635$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 5,630$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 4c | 5,008$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.38 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 7c | 4,279$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.45 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,374$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 6c | 3,019$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.75 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…879abacked Yes | 2c | 2,243$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 12c | 1,849$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.03 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 10c | 1,581$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.57 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…9f1cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,499$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 1,426$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…c244backed Yes | 2c | 1,385$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1116…78ddbacked Yes | 2c | 1,197$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28f…375abacked Yes | 2c | 1,137$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…5506backed Yes | 8c | 1,027$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 11c | 1,012$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.88 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d0…918ebacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…fa4abacked Yes | 9c | 773.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…5b82backed Yes | 2c | 757.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d7…22a5backed Yes | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 3c | 738.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 616.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 5c | 512.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312e…c604backed Yes | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -88%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 5c | 446.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…b39bbacked Yes | 13c | 385$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9574…2e6ebacked Yes | 6c | 268.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0594…90a5backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab9…9448backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 8c | 199.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…73a8backed Yes | 12c | 190.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d1…c4b9backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed Yes | 12c | 106.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 36cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.