TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,869,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,769,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,869,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2e69…858dbacked Yes2c101,000$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,42430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18c3…21a0backed Yes2c96,237$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.48230%0 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d9…ab69backed Yes4c56,930$2,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,385.68250%0 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes5c49,274$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,419.2335123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes4c45,150$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.56248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c98…ef88backed Yes5c44,717$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.06494.1%2 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-79.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf394…ad79backed Yes3c41,377$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.74911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-83.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0681…f713backed Yes10c33,769$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,420.47633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cde…41d0backed Yes2c30,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes2c26,902$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.0128113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes4c25,878$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.522825%7 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x658b…01b8backed Yes2c24,665$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.17234.3%1 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c1…3c74backed Yes2c20,933$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ec…d630backed Yes4c19,682$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.34729.7%7 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-76%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes2c19,386$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.0510313.6%14 W · 89 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc29…1c34backed Yes2c17,062$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.73454.4%2 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes4c16,746$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.455117.6%9 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ef…039dbacked Yes1c15,407$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.731910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-86.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e07…efe0backed Yes3c15,198$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.19320%0 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16f…655cbacked Yes6c13,426$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.862313%3 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b43…7829backed Yes2c10,792$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.46100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes3c9,882$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.89425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c70…9b0dbacked Yes12c8,574$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2305…04f2backed Yes2c8,300$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.4120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes2c8,000$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1363724.3%9 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x461c…20abbacked Yes12c8,000$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…818fbacked Yes1c7,392$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.07140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab4e…ba10backed Yes2c7,348$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31bd…5564backed Yes7c7,086$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.54714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-79.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84a1…2842backed Yes6c7,018$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.521483.4%5 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b9…dd2bbacked Yes1c6,380$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8cf…8d9ebacked Yes5c6,338$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.452615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-66.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f32…efb8backed Yes1c6,306$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.38430%0 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc409…4d2abacked Yes1c6,179$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.89480%0 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabca…cfd1backed Yes2c6,116$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e01…a4babacked Yes2c6,067$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100260%0 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ae…84d8backed Yes2c6,030$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf15…77fdbacked Yes1c5,612$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41d6…01f9backed Yes6c5,595$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.26797.6%6 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…8d17backed Yes2c5,579$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.43742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfdd…5585backed Yes2c5,315$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.43195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes1c5,056$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51150%0 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3164…02babacked Yes2c4,887$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.03290%0 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes2c4,832$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.814721.3%10 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c4e…a1ddbacked Yes2c4,772$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7650%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f08…73a8backed Yes2c4,664$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.951838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ba…e27cbacked Yes2c4,282$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7202…e9b1backed Yes7c4,162$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.011741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x868e…5392backed Yes3c3,846$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100170%0 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c93…d15cbacked Yes1c3,841$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.33650%3 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+81.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes3c3,744$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.477020%14 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea0d…0607backed Yes2c3,613$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ad…c163backed Yes2c3,588$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.071921.1%4 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick10cpaid+165.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea30…4144backed Yes1c3,523$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0290%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb59…2139backed Yes2c3,518$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6570%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x896e…ad85backed Yes3c3,508$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b2…b87dbacked Yes3c3,462$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90160%0 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6790…63cebacked Yes2c3,458$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa708…9abbbacked Yes9c3,322$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0329…db42backed Yes8c3,269$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc46…899abacked Yes2c3,254$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.31120%0 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…f8e8backed Yes10c3,101$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.883910.3%4 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ab…283fbacked Yes6c3,096$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x535f…9667backed Yes5c3,052$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.89360%0 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe72…9025backed Yes10c3,014$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+114.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4462…b29bbacked Yes4c2,974$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.51711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-60.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd8…af91backed Yes4c2,912$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e1…4d1fbacked Yes2c2,905$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f40…a69cbacked Yes2c2,800$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57bc…cea7backed Yes7c2,728$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.14170%0 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7c…e3efbacked Yes3c2,622$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd90…3ab0backed Yes6c2,400$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf9…1cc3backed Yes4c2,381$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.352910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x726f…d8e7backed Yes7c2,350$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1511330.1%34 W · 79 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3112…c69ebacked Yes2c2,327$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.51195.3%1 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick16cpaid-92.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x659c…d142backed Yes5c2,135$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.72333%1 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc03…559ebacked Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d60…cadebacked Yes6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9008…f3cebacked Yes1c1,937$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224723.4%11 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22c2…6a82backed Yes7c1,920$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8a…4362backed Yes1c1,890$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2a0…e208backed Yes1c1,798$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e7…ca91backed Yes2c1,787$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422e…8a52backed Yes1c1,779$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa465…81ccbacked Yes2c1,733$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2660%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes2c1,694$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.613438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba01…0c14backed Yes16c1,603$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc18b…3917backed Yes7c1,600$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd632…b444backed Yes4c1,531$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x209d…43cebacked Yes2c1,461$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.83180%0 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x087b…713ebacked Yes7c1,454$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c1,447$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.891,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x384b…8fcdbacked Yes1c1,288$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x027e…c97fbacked Yes5c1,260$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.54522.2%10 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-59.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ab…7555backed Yes1c1,254$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a7…00b1backed Yes6c1,237$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.982020%4 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6294…33f3backed Yes9c1,221$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.556657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6365…eba8backed Yes2c1,169$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa9…00abbacked Yes4c1,166$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c1,105$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.482922.1%6 W · 286 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.