Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8c4faf45974a68fa5b72d7bb52012a249357454f17235f14e310dc4bb526a99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,869,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,769,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,869,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e69…858dbacked Yes | 2c | 101,000$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c3…21a0backed Yes | 2c | 96,237$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.48 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…ab69backed Yes | 4c | 56,930$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.68 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 5c | 49,274$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.23 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 4c | 45,150$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.56 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 5c | 44,717$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.06 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…ad79backed Yes | 3c | 41,377$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.74 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0681…f713backed Yes | 10c | 33,769$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cde…41d0backed Yes | 2c | 30,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 26,902$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.01 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 4c | 25,878$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.52 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…01b8backed Yes | 2c | 24,665$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.17 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c1…3c74backed Yes | 2c | 20,933$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 4c | 19,682$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.34 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 2c | 19,386$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.05 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…1c34backed Yes | 2c | 17,062$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.73 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes | 4c | 16,746$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.45 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ef…039dbacked Yes | 1c | 15,407$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.73 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 3c | 15,198$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.19 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…655cbacked Yes | 6c | 13,426$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.86 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b43…7829backed Yes | 2c | 10,792$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 3c | 9,882$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…9b0dbacked Yes | 12c | 8,574$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…04f2backed Yes | 2c | 8,300$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.4 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 2c | 8,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…20abbacked Yes | 12c | 8,000$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…818fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,392$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…ba10backed Yes | 2c | 7,348$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31bd…5564backed Yes | 7c | 7,086$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 6c | 7,018$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.52 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…dd2bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,380$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…8d9ebacked Yes | 5c | 6,338$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.45 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 1c | 6,306$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 1c | 6,179$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…cfd1backed Yes | 2c | 6,116$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e01…a4babacked Yes | 2c | 6,067$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Yes | 2c | 6,030$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…77fdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,612$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 6c | 5,595$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.26 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…8d17backed Yes | 2c | 5,579$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…5585backed Yes | 2c | 5,315$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 1c | 5,056$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…02babacked Yes | 2c | 4,887$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,832$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…a1ddbacked Yes | 2c | 4,772$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…73a8backed Yes | 2c | 4,664$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…e27cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,282$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 7c | 4,162$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.01 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868e…5392backed Yes | 3c | 3,846$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…d15cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,841$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 3c | 3,744$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…0607backed Yes | 2c | 3,613$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ad…c163backed Yes | 2c | 3,588$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…4144backed Yes | 1c | 3,523$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…2139backed Yes | 2c | 3,518$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…ad85backed Yes | 3c | 3,508$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…b87dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,462$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…63cebacked Yes | 2c | 3,458$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9abbbacked Yes | 9c | 3,322$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0329…db42backed Yes | 8c | 3,269$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…899abacked Yes | 2c | 3,254$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…f8e8backed Yes | 10c | 3,101$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.88 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ab…283fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,096$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed Yes | 5c | 3,052$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.89 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…9025backed Yes | 10c | 3,014$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…b29bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,974$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…af91backed Yes | 4c | 2,912$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…4d1fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,905$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…a69cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,800$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…cea7backed Yes | 7c | 2,728$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.14 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…e3efbacked Yes | 3c | 2,622$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd90…3ab0backed Yes | 6c | 2,400$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…1cc3backed Yes | 4c | 2,381$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 7c | 2,350$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.15 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…c69ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,327$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…d142backed Yes | 5c | 2,135$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc03…559ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d60…cadebacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…f3cebacked Yes | 1c | 1,937$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c2…6a82backed Yes | 7c | 1,920$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8a…4362backed Yes | 1c | 1,890$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…e208backed Yes | 1c | 1,798$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…ca91backed Yes | 2c | 1,787$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422e…8a52backed Yes | 1c | 1,779$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa465…81ccbacked Yes | 2c | 1,733$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 2c | 1,694$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…0c14backed Yes | 16c | 1,603$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 7c | 1,600$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…b444backed Yes | 4c | 1,531$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209d…43cebacked Yes | 2c | 1,461$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,454$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,447$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384b…8fcdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,288$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,260$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ab…7555backed Yes | 1c | 1,254$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…00b1backed Yes | 6c | 1,237$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed Yes | 9c | 1,221$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.55 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…eba8backed Yes | 2c | 1,169$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…00abbacked Yes | 4c | 1,166$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,105$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.