Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd61673fdbb2e2ceeeeb7ec4fbaba10859e59cbb4abc311779c114e18dbadfb1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,355,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,235,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,355,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18c3…21a0backed Yes | 1c | 103,901$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955a…3cd3backed Yes | 10c | 97,276$9,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,712.9 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c07…5214backed Yes | 9c | 77,372$7,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,001.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 66,940$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 8c | 66,262$5,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,013.97 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…858dbacked Yes | 4c | 50,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0681…f713backed Yes | 14c | 47,537$6,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,522.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…a001backed Yes | 3c | 36,284$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 4c | 30,013$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.15 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…ad79backed Yes | 8c | 28,566$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 27,704$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.33 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…818fbacked Yes | 0c | 23,419$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 3c | 22,544$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.17 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…c244backed Yes | 3c | 20,771$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.66 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…4806backed Yes | 4c | 20,355$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.59 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 6c | 18,623$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.24 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 4c | 15,217$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.58 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 4c | 14,229$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.54 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 10c | 14,055$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.81 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x31bd…5564backed Yes | 3c | 13,838$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…6055backed Yes | 1c | 13,680$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 13,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 2c | 11,638$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.75 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa424…752abacked Yes | 5c | 11,382$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…51ebbacked Yes | 2c | 10,688$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.13 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 5c | 10,527$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.43 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked Yes | 0c | 10,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…d27dbacked Yes | 10c | 9,810$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 2c | 9,572$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.44 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 2c | 9,065$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.4 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 7c | 6,125$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.8 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 9c | 6,015$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.17 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e02…5696backed Yes | 10c | 5,718$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.87 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 10c | 5,549$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.89 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 4c | 5,394$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…7933backed Yes | 3c | 5,289$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.72 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…1c34backed Yes | 4c | 5,249$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.05 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 15c | 5,198$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.72 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eac…140abacked Yes | 3c | 5,150$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 17c | 5,082$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.89 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d60…cadebacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.61 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 7c | 4,815$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.83 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b43…7829backed Yes | 4c | 4,786$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.41 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 4c | 4,775$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 5c | 4,614$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.18 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 2c | 4,525$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…04f2backed Yes | 5c | 4,476$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.1 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…e553backed Yes | 1c | 4,333$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…e832backed Yes | 12c | 4,202$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc7…7e20backed Yes | 4c | 3,990$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.16 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…9861backed Yes | 6c | 3,852$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Yes | 4c | 3,847$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 13c | 3,847$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e01…a4babacked Yes | 3c | 3,612$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e72…5c72backed Yes | 5c | 3,604$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…77fdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,501$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…d1c1backed Yes | 14c | 3,336$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa465…81ccbacked Yes | 3c | 3,333$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2827backed Yes | 2c | 3,332$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 5c | 3,292$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Yes | 4c | 3,278$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…b444backed Yes | 5c | 3,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,192$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…73a8backed Yes | 2c | 3,157$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ef…039dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,115$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1771…6796backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…e27cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,865$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…5585backed Yes | 6c | 2,820$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.21 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed Yes | 2c | 2,631$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…2c91backed Yes | 1c | 2,599$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…378abacked Yes | 4c | 2,533$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb11b…a68bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,519$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…7e4ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…9920backed Yes | 7c | 2,490$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 5c | 2,311$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…8d9ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,273$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…a475backed Yes | 10c | 2,211$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…75babacked Yes | 11c | 2,150$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 2,080$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.19 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…00abbacked Yes | 6c | 2,014$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…1c91backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,960$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.41 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed Yes | 6c | 1,958$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.79 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…ed43backed Yes | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,799$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1053…3b5ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,762$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ff20backed Yes | 14c | 1,740$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…899abacked Yes | 2c | 1,726$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 1,717$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…9248backed Yes | 9c | 1,713$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…a1ddbacked Yes | 2c | 1,674$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…b29bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,659$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f5…9c8cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,587$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.