Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3c410d20641575d5e87f5cf03d83e6ea6d681d0ca9b4c409653d50eb7127dc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $587,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $580,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4c8…cabbbacked Yes | 2c | 59,741$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…4f09backed Yes | 4c | 24,526$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 5c | 18,412$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.46 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 1c | 14,140$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.86 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…fcc4backed Yes | 0c | 13,173$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa424…752abacked Yes | 3c | 10,503$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…e94fbacked Yes | 0c | 9,650$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 8,891$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…5585backed Yes | 1c | 7,395$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Yes | 3c | 5,882$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5494…85febacked Yes | 2c | 5,745$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…6767backed Yes | 14c | 4,760$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 4,673$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.42 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 2c | 4,605$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…0516backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +526.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9167…5338backed Yes | 3c | 3,807$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,586$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 4c | 3,274$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 3c | 3,203$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…4e83backed Yes | 1c | 3,188$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…cce7backed Yes | 3c | 3,069$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7e…875dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 2c | 2,827$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 5c | 2,697$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 5c | 2,646$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98c…cc12backed Yes | 6c | 2,586$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…3a81backed Yes | 2c | 2,440$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,051$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 11c | 1,946$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 1,630$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed Yes | 2c | 1,630$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…d142backed Yes | 2c | 1,572$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…af91backed Yes | 2c | 1,555$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…efaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,495$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…f666backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…ea00backed Yes | 1c | 1,114$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,106$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…6924backed Yes | 1c | 1,071$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbc…cf4fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,056$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…5b82backed Yes | 1c | 1,025$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7135…03edbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…67ecbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…cd9bbacked Yes | 8c | 999.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…57e3backed Yes | 2c | 877.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 2c | 848.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…e2c6backed Yes | 2c | 820$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…5290backed Yes | 1c | 800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…af09backed Yes | 2c | 783.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +214%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…33c0backed Yes | 2c | 776.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7d…035ebacked Yes | 3c | 766$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 2c | 736.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3fbfbacked Yes | 3c | 720$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae7…ac2dbacked Yes | 9c | 696.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…d9b1backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 615$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 2c | 575$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52e…b549backed Yes | 3c | 570.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a7c7backed Yes | 4c | 569.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…a12bbacked Yes | 2c | 559$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…2515backed Yes | 4c | 531.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…5a20backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 5c | 431.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b43…7829backed Yes | 6c | 430.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…e853backed Yes | 10c | 428.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa21…f3f4backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x104e…e387backed Yes | 2c | 400.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…bf96backed Yes | 4c | 366.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…6e3dbacked Yes | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940a…4e7ebacked Yes | 7c | 342.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…2f05backed Yes | 7c | 311.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…24dcbacked Yes | 4c | 308.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…9890backed Yes | 9c | 220$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…851bbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…36bcbacked Yes | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.