Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8adf44c2a9ad49ff2fac27a9bca60ec01936dea6caf319001bfde339c74ba5f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $766,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $737,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $766,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5ff…3fcdbacked No | 20c | 71,206$14,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,237.51 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 44c | 54,995$23,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,966.43 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f86…ae3dbacked No | 5c | 27,511$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 70c | 23,110$16,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,012.77 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d3…a879backed No | 0c | 21,047$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 66c | 17,805$11,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,981.66 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed No | 23c | 17,651$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.35 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed No | 17c | 12,822$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.23 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9604…fc1dbacked Yes | 76c | 10,491$7,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd2…48e6backed No | 18c | 9,213$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 18c | 8,685$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.38 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…38bbbacked No | 45c | 7,987$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 63c | 7,929$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 76c | 7,451$5,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3495…0b3bbacked Yes | 77c | 7,000$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058d…bbabbacked No | 8c | 6,011$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 58c | 5,611$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d7…5b7bbacked Yes | 59c | 5,339$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed No | 30c | 5,253$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.63 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 32c | 5,005$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.36 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…3335backed No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 61c | 5,000$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 79c | 4,817$3,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.79 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3400…4832backed Yes | 68c | 4,091$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 51c | 4,013$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…7b1fbacked No | 45c | 3,770$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 59c | 3,706$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.83 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 67c | 3,514$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.24 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de1…e0debacked No | 21c | 3,263$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe145…468dbacked No | 33c | 3,172$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…c05dbacked No | 24c | 2,947$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.77 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…d142backed No | 9c | 2,692$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.33 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked No | 16c | 2,533$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.84 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab53…9d07backed Yes | 55c | 2,501$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 30c | 2,500$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…7669backed No | 28c | 2,465$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…b090backed No | 28c | 2,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.75 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed No | 7c | 2,255$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.61 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 9c | 2,034$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…2974backed No | 13c | 1,818$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.09 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815d…8648backed Yes | 52c | 1,760$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.11 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 79c | 1,681$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.22 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 78c | 1,557$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.18 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…07f3backed Yes | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed No | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 15c | 1,400$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.99 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…b959backed No | 9c | 1,356$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…6dcbbacked Yes | 62c | 1,316$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…3d4abacked No | 16c | 1,300$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked No | 32c | 1,269$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…2943backed No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 9c | 1,200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 62c | 1,165$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.34 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,125$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 16c | 1,049$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked Yes | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Yes | 59c | 955.42$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd842…b3cebacked No | 8c | 933$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…5d1ebacked Yes | 68c | 916.12$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…d1c4backed No | 10c | 911.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…1da2backed Yes | 66c | 899.99$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86f…256fbacked No | 43c | 894.99$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…20fbbacked Yes | 74c | 810.96$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…efc1backed Yes | 68c | 799.97$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 19c | 783.44$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.14 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 26c | 755.34$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.21 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Yes | 60c | 700$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked No | 24c | 690$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Yes | 66c | 681.82$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed Yes | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked No | 7c | 650.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f70…0ca9backed Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Yes | 65c | 605.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.11 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked No | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 595.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…639ebacked No | 30c | 576.5$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked No | 19c | 568.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed No | 9c | 566.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…5506backed No | 38c | 537.08$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.9 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…0884backed Yes | 79c | 536.23$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bd…5564backed Yes | 71c | 528.46$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…c413backed No | 40c | 525$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…0b73backed No | 22c | 501.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…af89backed No | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fa…bc7cbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d7…cf4bbacked Yes | 73c | 500$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2125…fd1abacked Yes | 66c | 500$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8c…8098backed Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…6feabacked Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed No | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 65c | 499.52$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 19c | 462.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…5926backed Yes | 60c | 461.08$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 74c | 457.06$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…4c1ebacked No | 10c | 451.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…7c31backed No | 16c | 450$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.