TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,743 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes65c10,891$7,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,854.3919535.4%69 W · 126 L-13.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaabb…0ac6backed Yes62c6,746$4,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,596.274470.5%31 W · 13 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+21.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed No30c6,575$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.7458126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No22c5,807$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.633823.7%9 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick34cpaid+30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked No9c3,897$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.5487828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed No1c3,188$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2863835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea3…fe61backed Yes70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9003666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x997c…251ebacked No21c2,494$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.7411720.5%24 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…8748backed No7c2,490$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.847112.7%9 W · 62 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed No39c2,200$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68c0…6dcbbacked Yes76c2,165$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.181457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04cc…e945backed No47c2,147$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5abb…ea3abacked Yes72c2,097$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.01977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71e2…31c4backed No20c1,970$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3874139%16 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No16c1,626$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1537745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0fc…add8backed No7c1,600$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.181050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d3e…eec6backed No33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4952536%9 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed No3c1,500$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.528021.1%59 W · 221 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb9…4f81backed No25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-73.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1955…9865backed Yes58c1,391$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.572114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-70.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes74c1,333$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.1512259.8%73 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No4c1,200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522126.6%14 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick6cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd800…c256backed Yes77c1,112$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.732657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed No45c1,000$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449110%0 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d97…d127backed No6c984.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.073215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes63c924.99$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.348619.8%17 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41d6…01f9backed No5c800$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4797.6%6 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84a1…2842backed No6c800$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.21483.4%5 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbb…dc2bbacked No6c800$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452020%4 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-50.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb0b…78c6backed Yes72c712.5$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d8c…99f6backed No15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked No41c649.99$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.560%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x645d…4da8backed Yes77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x890c…5659backed Yes77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1383100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1437…acfebacked No2c590$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41625%4 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-65.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c9…9c10backed No45c573.25$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3814337.1%53 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f6…4d05backed No48c533.72$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.191145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed No17c522.96$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.331361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick35cpaid+128.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x134d…1da2backed Yes58c500$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2095164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe956…c4e0backed No46c500$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick30cpaid-89.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3a8…70b3backed No45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+178.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…042bbacked Yes57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153740.5%15 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe38e…50c8backed Yes71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x726f…d8e7backed No21c487.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9511330.1%34 W · 79 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6436…da96backed No42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa247…7175backed Yes54c461$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.851050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d7…cf4bbacked Yes67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1323672.2%26 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x837c…efc1backed Yes56c399.98$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.994065%26 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed36…e096backed Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.885226.9%14 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-40.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbf98…d0bfbacked No3c340$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25066%33 W · 17 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xea29…43e3backed Yes66c326.58$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.64330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce10…51d4backed No7c323.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.658038.8%31 W · 49 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70ff…dc47backed Yes55c309.09$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.09450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd135…9c62backed Yes56c303.43$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.633070%21 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddd3…e31fbacked Yes78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a99…c413backed No26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8ba…4978backed Yes55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+82.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd143…83ecbacked Yes59c298.56$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0710221.6%22 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2125…fd1abacked Yes56c292.87$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.863357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe86b…9371backed Yes73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d66…79cabacked No13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-66.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa289…b412backed Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746575.4%49 W · 16 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+19.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846835.3%24 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a5…bafebacked Yes57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.423411.1%26 W · 208 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c14…0718backed No44c176.74$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7875…e0efbacked Yes61c163.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.813240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa46f…87c3backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8270…9ca6backed Yes74c151.81$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.811258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick33cpaid+88.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd083…d678backed Yes65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c5…e50fbacked No36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1771…6796backed Yes72c140$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1be…c3f6backed Yes70c133.42$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1137…4ed5backed Yes76c131.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7821651.4%111 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No32c125.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012736.2%46 W · 81 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6535…654dbacked Yes78c125.53$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.53933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb37b…da0cbacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Yes78c124.81$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.91050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81d…20f7backed No44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010067%67 W · 33 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf17e…5fbebacked No44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10e8…c707backed Yes59c112.6$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.174015%6 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd297…2919backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…74dcbacked Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.35per pick56cpaid+102.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b5…4bd7backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x367e…b15ebacked No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d2c…465dbacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.082642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a64…6467backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…ef37backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9095…96f7backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+39.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xaecd…27abbacked No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes63c91.29$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ec…428abacked Yes62c83.69$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.23663.9%23 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2833…ea61backed Yes57c80.95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1904…23d3backed No46c79.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.73372.7%24 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd756…a817backed Yes77c75.51$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.37683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+73.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6374…891fbacked Yes56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.433455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6f0…f943backed Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4503…e99cbacked Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.