Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x946bb3ec7e7d9bf146b4487be87e71ace99f1e0e9978cf36fbb5063c23900afb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,179,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,209,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,179,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9231…2212backed No | 45c | 145,860$65,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,448.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 53c | 76,124$40,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,540.19 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed No | 9c | 59,810$5,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,653.78 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 35c | 51,956$18,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,525.62 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 67c | 38,589$25,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,915.15 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 24c | 36,933$8,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,224.13 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 42c | 28,000$11,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,630.08 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 36c | 24,419$8,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,773.57 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe002…7813backed Yes | 53c | 23,567$12,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,069.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 47c | 21,636$10,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,146.41 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3c…3d34backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb2…99a3backed No | 72c | 19,802$14,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,172.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…7b1fbacked No | 40c | 19,596$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,776.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 10c | 16,899$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,184.83 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…7dd1backed No | 10c | 15,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 78c | 13,689$10,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.78 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…63b1backed Yes | 65c | 12,166$7,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…b127backed Yes | 40c | 10,033$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,064.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 74c | 9,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed No | 69c | 8,962$6,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,227.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 60c | 8,798$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.26 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 70c | 7,000$4,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.87 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 67c | 6,817$4,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.76 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…bdb9backed Yes | 9c | 5,690$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,202.79 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 20c | 5,009$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.07 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2827backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…639ebacked Yes | 62c | 4,929$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.21 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 43c | 4,690$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.47 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156d…e025backed Yes | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.63 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 18c | 4,505$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.94 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 12c | 4,479$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,921.52 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +6.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +189.8%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed No | 4c | 4,296$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed No | 51c | 4,174$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…3335backed No | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5128…13d9backed Yes | 66c | 3,870$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 8c | 3,818$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…2759backed Yes | 49c | 3,766$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…0516backed Yes | 23c | 3,367$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.43 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +526.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 14c | 3,357$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.14 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 52c | 3,205$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.75 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 74c | 2,808$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.36 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 78c | 2,699$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…3270backed Yes | 67c | 2,672$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…b6b8backed Yes | 33c | 2,632$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…973ebacked Yes | 65c | 2,610$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ff…0849backed Yes | 30c | 2,579$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…8eafbacked Yes | 64c | 2,525$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 30c | 2,500$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ba…4978backed Yes | 24c | 2,493$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 2,390$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.19 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc0…d6b3backed Yes | 14c | 2,371$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +601.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1771…6796backed Yes | 42c | 2,286$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b6…2505backed Yes | 10c | 2,051$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 11cpaid | +202.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…3e1dbacked Yes | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6484backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…abd7backed Yes | 51c | 1,952$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.71 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…ad79backed Yes | 67c | 1,951$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.7 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…631ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,930$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +253%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 38c | 1,857$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.12 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed No | 29c | 1,833$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.37 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…1ef5backed Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…171ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,626$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed No | 8c | 1,616$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.71 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 54c | 1,500$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.44 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a1…31e3backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…9861backed Yes | 36c | 1,378$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ef…039dbacked No | 27c | 1,340$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.13 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…4806backed Yes | 37c | 1,312$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.21 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…10fabacked Yes | 45c | 1,305$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…9025backed Yes | 23c | 1,282$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 42c | 1,263$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.5 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 33c | 1,250$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…50c8backed Yes | 64c | 1,200$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 11c | 1,200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.88 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 9c | 1,200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 41c | 1,163$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.15 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…e5d4backed Yes | 27c | 1,131$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dc…c05fbacked No | 2c | 1,118$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 44c | 1,101$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.17 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,100$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 44c | 1,085$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…d243backed Yes | 14c | 1,084$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.55 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 13c | 1,064$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.39 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 39c | 1,039$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c15…cc6bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,010$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.09 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…dfb5backed Yes | 34c | 1,002$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…03e6backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed No | 31c | 1,000$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…e66cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.68 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…419fbacked Yes | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +251.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…382cbacked Yes | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0099…386ebacked No | 14c | 999.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed No | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.49 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 66c | 999.63$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.01 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.