Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccc51cccefaae9546754ac4785db8fa14e617573d86da599c0ac8f36850eae9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $779,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $687,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $779,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 2c | 76,377$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.86 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…e94fbacked Yes | 0c | 58,917$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 36,282$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 0c | 29,634$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…7f75backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1ceebacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 1c | 17,771$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefd…24d1backed Yes | 1c | 14,286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…d6e3backed Yes | 1c | 13,620$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51e…1fb6backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 1c | 12,876$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 10,665$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ba…1d1cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,498$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked Yes | 0c | 10,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2e…8968backed Yes | 1c | 9,225$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,600$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…91a1backed Yes | 1c | 4,693$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c31…09c2backed Yes | 2c | 3,803$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4721…23aabacked Yes | 1c | 3,123$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9167…5338backed Yes | 1c | 3,050$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5494…85febacked Yes | 1c | 3,031$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…5b82backed Yes | 1c | 2,900$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5200…b347backed Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 1c | 2,838$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…5290backed Yes | 1c | 2,464$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 1c | 2,454$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…3803backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 1c | 1,864$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 1,839$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd4…fe7bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,787$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…cf5ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,770$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60b…f607backed Yes | 1c | 1,625$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1db…dd3bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,527$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…ddfbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,514$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…c739backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…cc83backed Yes | 3c | 1,062$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…faafbacked Yes | 2c | 999.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…d5d3backed Yes | 3c | 981.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…2d87backed Yes | 1c | 935.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa21…f3f4backed Yes | 3c | 667.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 3c | 584.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9a…3c1fbacked Yes | 2c | 522.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…cce7backed Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…cea7backed Yes | 4c | 358.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.