Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52be9ab6a9a863b0b56db077a00b815d46560c56a6f5fb56874d6a5ee1e3a4f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $396,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $417,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1687…74b1backed No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 64c | 23,844$15,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,517.28 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 40c | 18,365$7,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,940.31 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 62c | 15,707$9,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,958.56 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 50c | 15,350$7,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,615.84 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb8…7e00backed No | 72c | 12,695$9,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,145.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 55c | 11,938$6,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,529.1 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 50c | 11,845$5,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,935.14 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf028…c48dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 6c | 8,689$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.72 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156d…e025backed Yes | 21c | 8,370$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,629.29 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…f2d4backed No | 42c | 8,000$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…c428backed Yes | 64c | 7,959$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 36c | 7,040$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,505.49 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a5…d2eebacked No | 48c | 6,174$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 52c | 5,029$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.88 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Yes | 19c | 4,999$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 52c | 4,271$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.29 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 28c | 3,928$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.61 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df8…36adbacked Yes | 52c | 3,296$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 62c | 3,000$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…82f9backed No | 77c | 3,000$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed No | 9c | 2,962$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.96 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…c1d6backed Yes | 54c | 2,644$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.29 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8d…2a69backed Yes | 54c | 2,519$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.82 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed No | 50c | 2,312$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…d0edbacked No | 44c | 2,284$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 60c | 2,231$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.96 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed Yes | 57c | 1,931$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.8 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ca…711bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,855$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 58c | 1,775$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.84 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked No | 50c | 1,773$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 59c | 1,690$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.47 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 1,661$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 51c | 1,653$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.09 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…7b20backed Yes | 46c | 1,652$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5ccbbacked No | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +78%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…3270backed Yes | 78c | 1,485$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,309$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 1,200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…86aebacked No | 3c | 1,197$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 52c | 1,179$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.07 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ba…4978backed Yes | 24c | 1,128$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f1…adb7backed No | 5c | 1,104$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 13c | 1,100$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed No | 4c | 1,050$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d73…13c6backed Yes | 49c | 1,025$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…4070backed Yes | 50c | 1,015$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…cc4ebacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…c413backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…9c71backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed No | 4c | 999$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 27c | 978.78$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.15 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 78c | 928.18$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.05 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 24c | 843.15$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.22 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +6.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +189.8%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…042bbacked No | 35c | 832.48$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.05 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 34c | 768.58$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.2 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…b6b8backed Yes | 73c | 726.82$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 71c | 684.27$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.96 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…c427backed No | 70c | 599.99$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked No | 25c | 599.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked No | 2c | 589.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ef…039dbacked Yes | 80c | 566.47$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.29 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 52c | 549.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.99 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…60f1backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046a…0a3ebacked No | 59c | 505.87$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 19c | 501$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.81 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…1da2backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ce…0169backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Yes | 19c | 499.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd6…4735backed Yes | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…171ebacked Yes | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…f084backed No | 46c | 495.65$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed No | 5c | 462.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…b127backed Yes | 48c | 458$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 31c | 453.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…891bbacked No | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…7500backed No | 58c | 442.72$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 72c | 427.1$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…564fbacked Yes | 47c | 425$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 423.07$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.78 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8270…9ca6backed Yes | 30c | 420.63$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0a…70a5backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7875…e0efbacked Yes | 33c | 413.36$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.36 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa705…8998backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 63c | 400$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked No | 22c | 400$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…0516backed Yes | 19c | 399$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.19 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +526.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…1f57backed Yes | 34c | 394.76$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…4e6ebacked Yes | 65c | 389.85$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5490…1806backed No | 3c | 375$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed No | 56c | 372$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.64 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…d243backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140a…ef1bbacked Yes | 26c | 365.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.29 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.