TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,217,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,094,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,217,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x739a…552cbacked Yes0c74,152$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271520%0 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c8…cabbbacked Yes3c64,821$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8baa…f299backed Yes2c64,784$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes4c51,075$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9535123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f28…1ceebacked Yes0c49,999$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes2c42,149$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.98180%0 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x075e…1840backed Yes8c36,016$3,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,019.292910.3%3 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-81%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…1dfdbacked Yes5c20,862$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae69…6e71backed Yes5c15,340$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.3590%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x984d…3bb2backed Yes3c14,552$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2376…e94fbacked Yes0c11,560$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56160%0 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Yes22c10,199$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.77922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+97.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f6…15c4backed Yes18c10,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes0c9,346$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.07740%0 W · 74 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe893…4e83backed Yes2c8,577$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8150%0 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ca…9265backed Yes2c7,768$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.877213.9%10 W · 62 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0bc8…91a1backed Yes1c6,856$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.41240%0 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4e…a1ddbacked Yes2c6,602$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes0c6,314$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.94402.5%1 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c98…ef88backed Yes2c6,139$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.33494.1%2 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-79.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c6,038$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.032922.1%6 W · 286 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4476…111ebacked Yes1c6,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes2c5,341$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.53212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-38.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes2c5,148$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4228113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6402…2fa1backed Yes4c5,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220643.1%2 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-72.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41d6…01f9backed Yes5c4,591$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.52797.6%6 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…7790backed Yes1c4,517$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e8…c707backed Yes4c4,388$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.194015%6 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes2c4,261$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.861010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-84.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9167…5338backed Yes4c4,167$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3120%0 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84a1…2842backed Yes4c4,123$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.871483.4%5 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes2c4,010$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.18210%0 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Yes10c3,723$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.26240%0 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x963e…04a0backed Yes0c3,667$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x027e…c97fbacked Yes3c3,333$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.784522.2%10 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-59.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ffe…b822backed Yes3c3,328$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100210%0 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76c8…e383backed Yes2c3,269$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.78904.4%4 W · 86 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7470…72e1backed No80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6006100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1383…0516backed Yes5c3,000$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1472825%7 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+526.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4451…fcbebacked Yes3c3,000$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.094643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes5c2,900$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…5b82backed Yes1c2,746$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.47160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes1c2,659$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.644163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48fc…3837backed Yes2c2,654$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6640%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44fb…4ababacked Yes4c2,571$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf475…ee8cbacked Yes2c2,514$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50110%0 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes2c2,499$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.193619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-64.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8314…6767backed Yes24c2,485$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes16c2,460$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.614337.1%53 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2cb…6dc2backed Yes9c2,285$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200120%0 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21e7…ca91backed Yes2c2,197$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3301…4dd8backed Yes1c2,030$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.211024.9%5 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes3c2,000$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621015.9%6 W · 95 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+121.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5802…275abacked Yes5c2,000$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes3c2,000$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631031.9%2 W · 101 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d6b…5e31backed Yes3c1,929$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-82.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdab4…e253backed No78c1,923$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.081283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x626e…fa46backed Yes6c1,856$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.82120%0 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7c…b493backed Yes1c1,800$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x052c…41d7backed Yes1c1,795$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x659c…d142backed Yes2c1,766$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.15333%1 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,718$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.71,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x535f…9667backed Yes3c1,703$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3360%0 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8b5…956abacked Yes7c1,600$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0ee…6346backed Yes2c1,578$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x665d…ea00backed Yes2c1,559$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.182050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b43…7829backed Yes4c1,525$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.38100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c31…09c2backed Yes7c1,491$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6950%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5342…d243backed Yes20c1,483$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.442425%6 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e7…06c1backed Yes1c1,447$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66c…8460backed Yes2c1,402$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x276b…9116backed Yes2c1,356$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.48205%1 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf452…c0efbacked Yes2c1,348$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.460%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…23c5backed No78c1,311$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+122%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe783…5242backed Yes1c1,265$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9140…cf5ebacked Yes4c1,262$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5090%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc250…8d6ebacked No78c1,230$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.525964.4%38 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd834…cd9bbacked Yes7c1,200$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes2c1,111$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.562270.9%2 W · 225 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5200…b347backed Yes2c1,091$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2440%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…e920backed Yes4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d3…76d1backed Yes4c1,000$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4370%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001288.6%11 W · 117 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fd8…af91backed Yes2c999.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes2c966.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.113324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe004…cce7backed Yes2c936$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.53510%0 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e73…ea15backed Yes7c918$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.26425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-55.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc6…7306backed Yes7c900$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes20c899.84$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4358126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe995…06b7backed Yes4c777.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5480%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes2c742.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.93590%0 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8d…299cbacked Yes20c683.26$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.284047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0be6…da89backed Yes3c681.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes3c664.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.97368.3%3 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-78.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaecf…a030backed Yes4c599.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6180%0 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf59…43dfbacked Yes4c592.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6950%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Yes2c514.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.942512%3 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-57.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50210%0 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b0…cc00backed Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ede…e0e8backed Yes2c497.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+65.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.