Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28799fda784f6b7f9e838c80d03389973167f102fd1db3f4efb5af6ea19b32ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,217,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,094,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,217,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x739a…552cbacked Yes | 0c | 74,152$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…cabbbacked Yes | 3c | 64,821$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8baa…f299backed Yes | 2c | 64,784$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 4c | 51,075$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.95 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1ceebacked Yes | 0c | 49,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 2c | 42,149$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.98 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…1840backed Yes | 8c | 36,016$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.29 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…1dfdbacked Yes | 5c | 20,862$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…6e71backed Yes | 5c | 15,340$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…3bb2backed Yes | 3c | 14,552$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…e94fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,560$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Yes | 22c | 10,199$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…15c4backed Yes | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 9,346$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 74 | 0%0 W · 74 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…4e83backed Yes | 2c | 8,577$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.8 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 2c | 7,768$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…91a1backed Yes | 1c | 6,856$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…a1ddbacked Yes | 2c | 6,602$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 0c | 6,314$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 2c | 6,139$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 6,038$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…111ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 2c | 5,341$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 5,148$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 5c | 4,591$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.52 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…7790backed Yes | 1c | 4,517$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 4c | 4,388$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.19 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 2c | 4,261$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9167…5338backed Yes | 4c | 4,167$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.3 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 4c | 4,123$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.87 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,010$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 10c | 3,723$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.26 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x963e…04a0backed Yes | 0c | 3,667$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,333$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b822backed Yes | 3c | 3,328$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 2c | 3,269$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7470…72e1backed No | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…0516backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +526.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 5c | 2,900$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…5b82backed Yes | 1c | 2,746$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 2,659$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fc…3837backed Yes | 2c | 2,654$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fb…4ababacked Yes | 4c | 2,571$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…ee8cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,514$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 2c | 2,499$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…6767backed Yes | 24c | 2,485$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 16c | 2,460$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.6 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…6dc2backed Yes | 9c | 2,285$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…ca91backed Yes | 2c | 2,197$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 1c | 2,030$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…275abacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6b…5e31backed Yes | 3c | 1,929$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…e253backed No | 78c | 1,923$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.08 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…fa46backed Yes | 6c | 1,856$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7c…b493backed Yes | 1c | 1,800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…41d7backed Yes | 1c | 1,795$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…d142backed Yes | 2c | 1,766$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,718$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed Yes | 3c | 1,703$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…956abacked Yes | 7c | 1,600$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ee…6346backed Yes | 2c | 1,578$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…ea00backed Yes | 2c | 1,559$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b43…7829backed Yes | 4c | 1,525$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c31…09c2backed Yes | 7c | 1,491$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…d243backed Yes | 20c | 1,483$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.44 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e7…06c1backed Yes | 1c | 1,447$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…8460backed Yes | 2c | 1,402$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…9116backed Yes | 2c | 1,356$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…c0efbacked Yes | 2c | 1,348$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…23c5backed No | 78c | 1,311$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +122%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe783…5242backed Yes | 1c | 1,265$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…cf5ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,262$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 78c | 1,230$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.52 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…cd9bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 2c | 1,111$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5200…b347backed Yes | 2c | 1,091$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…e920backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…76d1backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…af91backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 2c | 966.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…cce7backed Yes | 2c | 936$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…ea15backed Yes | 7c | 918$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…7306backed Yes | 7c | 900$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 20c | 899.84$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.43 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…06b7backed Yes | 4c | 777.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 742.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked Yes | 20c | 683.26$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…da89backed Yes | 3c | 681.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 3c | 664.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaecf…a030backed Yes | 4c | 599.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf59…43dfbacked Yes | 4c | 592.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 2c | 514.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…cc00backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…e0e8backed Yes | 2c | 497.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.