TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,124 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19d9…f155backed No0c5,641$10 inLost-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf390…6b3ebacked No0c5,234$26 inLost-$2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No19c677.03$128 inLost-$127.722433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cea…f32abacked No27c381.13$104 inLost-$103.97934.2%27 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x404c…48b2backed No19c353$66 inLost-$66.411127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes75c320.85$241 inWon+$79.8113145.8%60 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No20c183.95$37 inLost-$37.0499629.5%294 W · 702 L-73.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93c4…dca6backed No21c160$34 inLost-$33.72445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8731…1181backed No14c148$21 inLost-$21.27616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-78.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No15c145.55$22 inLost-$221,07335.5%381 W · 692 L-70.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d19…be54backed Yes74c131.75$98 inWon+$33.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No9c125.28$12 inLost-$11.731,1366.3%72 W · 1,064 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-55.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c5…dd5ebacked No11c99.73$11 inLost-$10.97812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-76%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f4b1backed No12c96.27$12 inLost-$11.868441.7%35 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes73c89.04$65 inWon+$24.382157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f50…1fb6backed No21c70$15 inLost-$14.54751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes79c62.94$50 inWon+$12.943855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No18c60$11 inLost-$111915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-71.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c83…8a22backed Yes45c56.91$26 inWon+$31.32254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8db4…9c07backed Yes75c55$41 inWon+$13.653435.3%12 W · 22 L-6.1wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x214c…eb00backed Yes80c50$40 inWon+$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd453…75ebbacked No30c40$12 inLost-$12540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e3…521cbacked Yes76c14.99$11 inWon+$3.61861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.