Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbc0f5c1ca4a6f0a3914b32ae117c7d23ebb57412f715a5f0b62cff94851e54c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,680$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.84 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed No | 14c | 1,166$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 27c | 910.43$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 26c | 843.27$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.95 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bc…c11abacked No | 21c | 470$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +188%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 17c | 389.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 65c | 335.97$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 80c | 293.58$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 35c | 285.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 17c | 263.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 25c | 217$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed No | 23c | 199.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 74c | 173$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 31c | 169.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 71c | 150.1$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked No | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 70c | 125.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe535…96d3backed No | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 24c | 100.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…48b2backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d9…f155backed No | 24c | 70.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…e576backed No | 34c | 59.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9f…8e3abacked No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…bcb4backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 73c | 44.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…362ebacked Yes | 76c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e5…6f6abacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…f294backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb84…a9babacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed Yes | 80c | 18.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x147e…59dabacked Yes | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in September?this page
- Will Trump talk to Ahmed Al Shara in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in September?No won
- Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Jair Bolsonaro in September?No won
- Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in September?No won
- Will Trump talk to Keir Starmer in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in September?No won
- Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Pope Leo in September?No won
- Will Trump talk to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?No won
- Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in September?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.