Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ebb35d712646bbdf2aa8d6d244927bb225a282416e39fabeb3dd1b65074ee19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 59c | 3,016$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.71 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 6c | 2,332$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 35c | 2,169$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.77 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…e2ebbacked No | 65c | 1,540$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 37c | 1,445$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.04 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 61c | 1,127$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.4 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 54c | 1,100$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.72 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,039$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.27 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 62c | 1,036$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.6 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 63c | 899.44$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.65 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 43c | 863.29$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.77 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 11c | 810$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 56c | 659.63$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.96 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x190c…8cf4backed Yes | 41c | 605.18$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 32c | 518$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.57 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 48c | 516.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.66 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 41c | 476.59$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…fa0fbacked Yes | 42c | 400.02$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.02 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +6.7wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 56c | 394$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.02 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 65c | 330.45$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 51c | 303.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.48 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…4628backed Yes | 52c | 279.18$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…19dabacked Yes | 48c | 279$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8f…d077backed No | 59c | 237.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.73 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -5.0wins | -0.33per pick | 60cpaid | -48%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 220.29$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.46 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…48b2backed No | 49c | 216$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 35c | 207$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.55 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…b65bbacked Yes | 41c | 197.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.01 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed Yes | 52c | 183.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 50c | 171.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 43c | 162.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…5f90backed Yes | 35c | 145.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…a236backed No | 42c | 140.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2882…9631backed Yes | 59c | 129.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 63c | 125$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…a242backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 42c | 105$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…6112backed No | 71c | 77.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…aef7backed Yes | 33c | 77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 57c | 58.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 51.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed Yes | 64c | 51.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 34c | 51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 126 | 31.7%40 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…c0bcbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…be54backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 25c | 44.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…8642backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 44c | 38.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 44c | 37.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 38c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked Yes | 48c | 21.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 54c | 19.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in September?this page
- Will Trump talk to Ahmed Al Shara in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in September?No won
- Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Jair Bolsonaro in September?No won
- Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in September?No won
- Will Trump talk to Keir Starmer in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in September?No won
- Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Pope Leo in September?No won
- Will Trump talk to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?No won
- Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in September?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.