Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdd1061218b52afbc4ed55b57939f65742b4653f887a662aedf05d947ec89e15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 53c | 28,915$15,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,451.04 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 38c | 6,959$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,301.58 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 38c | 6,024$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.74 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 29c | 5,426$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.67 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…be54backed Yes | 72c | 5,344$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,836.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 28c | 5,261$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked No | 33c | 4,825$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,233 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 63c | 4,738$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.39 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 67c | 3,815$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.7 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…531dbacked Yes | 51c | 3,520$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed Yes | 44c | 3,442$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.61 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 71c | 3,245$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.3 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…106abacked Yes | 71c | 3,118$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.42 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 48c | 3,032$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.56 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…9db4backed Yes | 73c | 3,000$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 71c | 2,829$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.12 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 47c | 2,827$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 37c | 2,724$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.56 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1e50backed Yes | 58c | 2,397$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.86 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked Yes | 71c | 2,357$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 65c | 2,329$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.16 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 16c | 2,162$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.66 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 32c | 2,142$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.6 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 41c | 1,988$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.15 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 59c | 1,914$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.36 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bc…c11abacked No | 17c | 1,780$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +188%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 15c | 1,710$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 42c | 1,700$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,659$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.91 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 15c | 1,598$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.3 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +12.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 41c | 1,573$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.94 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 37c | 1,549$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 35c | 1,522$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…e2ebbacked Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked Yes | 64c | 1,489$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…48b2backed No | 32c | 1,485$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,429$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8f…d077backed No | 31c | 1,407$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -5.0wins | -0.33per pick | 60cpaid | -48%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5b…26fabacked Yes | 76c | 1,365$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 71c | 1,307$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.06 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 77c | 1,267$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.11 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…c1a0backed Yes | 36c | 1,083$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 45c | 968.69$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.51 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 55c | 961.44$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.14 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…d285backed Yes | 69c | 938.04$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 30c | 915$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.15 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9a71backed Yes | 75c | 912.67$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.93 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 58c | 899.72$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.16 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 38c | 854.69$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.17 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked Yes | 70c | 828.07$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.49 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dda…1b87backed Yes | 69c | 822.5$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 43c | 796.05$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.05 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 43c | 777$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.14 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed No | 40c | 768.88$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed Yes | 51c | 764.58$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.03 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 56c | 734.42$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.87 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…1ef7backed Yes | 16c | 686.02$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017d…1290backed Yes | 74c | 674.15$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 55c | 672.88$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.21 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 45c | 670.7$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.7 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…f9d6backed No | 73c | 652$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…c971backed Yes | 31c | 600$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked Yes | 16c | 599.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.4wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 45c | 572.41$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.53 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 72c | 565.06$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.29 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…000fbacked Yes | 54c | 556.24$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…e72ebacked Yes | 58c | 530.88$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 43c | 502.54$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.2 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 24c | 500.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.85 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 58c | 500.24$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.83 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…dcfebacked No | 25c | 500$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 32c | 477.04$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 49c | 470.8$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.86 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Yes | 31c | 469$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 78c | 468.23$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.22 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…a199backed Yes | 42c | 456.73$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 80c | 456$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…45e5backed No | 41c | 450.59$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 442.54$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.61 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…225dbacked Yes | 65c | 433.83$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 78c | 432.49$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.98 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 69c | 430.06$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.25 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 62c | 415$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.15 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…4afebacked No | 24c | 413.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 73c | 404.05$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.19 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed Yes | 65c | 399.8$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.3 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Yes | 74c | 399.72$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 69c | 398.36$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 31c | 392.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 22c | 361.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38e…272bbacked Yes | 10c | 360.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…2dd6backed Yes | 35c | 350$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…6f38backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadcc…668dbacked Yes | 29c | 343.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…362ebacked Yes | 58c | 342.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 22c | 339.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?this page
- Will Trump talk to Ahmed Al Shara in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in September?No won
- Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Jair Bolsonaro in September?No won
- Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in September?No won
- Will Trump talk to Keir Starmer in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in September?No won
- Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Pope Leo in September?No won
- Will Trump talk to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in September?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.