TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in September?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,068 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90a0…7e0abacked Yes10c750$75 inLost-$755164.7%33 W · 18 L+8.4wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+29.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes4c728.7$29 inLost-$29.2135519.7%70 W · 285 L-16.3wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x983f…fd5ebacked Yes3c499.64$15 inLost-$14.993253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0013…3c30backed Yes20c489.76$100 inLost-$1003622.2%8 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes15c451.97$69 inLost-$68.662520%5 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa9c…3421backed Yes12c437.81$53 inLost-$52.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea44…3168backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed Yes11c267.81$29 inLost-$29.4621935.2%77 W · 142 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7250…5468backed Yes18c200$37 inLost-$36.755335.8%19 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc14…2e9bbacked Yes14c200$28 inLost-$281931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ee4…481fbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68b7…c0bcbacked Yes10c179.18$18 inLost-$18.012147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed No78c133.29$104 inWon+$28.9912649.2%62 W · 64 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes15c120$18 inLost-$1823639.4%93 W · 143 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes9c114.05$11 inLost-$10.733313.2%44 W · 289 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$103855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd195…70a6backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa314…5ba7backed Yes17c98.04$16 inLost-$16.317147.9%34 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…f4b1backed No64c97.6$63 inWon+$34.678441.7%35 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aca…38cdbacked Yes17c63.81$11 inLost-$11616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d01…c5abbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fc0…4cadbacked No78c60$47 inWon+$13.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes20c52.45$10 inLost-$10.3399629.5%294 W · 702 L-73.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Yes40c49.75$20 inLost-$201060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+95.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19b1…7dc3backed No80c20$16 inWon+$41020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.