UFC · resolved market

UFC 319: Elliott vs. Asakura

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x433cef6577bf75dc47a051baab06166e788397612ba3750e3beae162086e576b

Rebuilt 10 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Elliottof Elliott, Asakura
Resolved: Aug 17, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $125,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $141,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,028 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Elliott	25c	15,953$3,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,955.23	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Elliott	26c	13,498$3,448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,050.15	148	57.4%85 W · 63 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Asakura	75c	12,900$9,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,670.71	169	51.5%87 W · 82 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Elliott	61c	12,189$7,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,708.92	281	43.1%121 W · 160 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Asakura	75c	11,063$8,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,291.24	130	39.2%51 W · 79 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Asakura	74c	7,649$5,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,660.1	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Elliott	25c	7,010$1,752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,257.23	160	49.4%79 W · 81 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Elliott	17c	5,877$984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,892.99	105	22.9%24 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa8c…a715backed Asakura	75c	5,701$4,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,275.78	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.7wins	-0.38per pick	53cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Elliott	25c	4,669$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,501.85	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Asakura	22c	4,099$890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889.99	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Elliott	25c	4,070$1,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,052.14	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Elliott	26c	2,885$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,135.26	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Asakura	73c	2,819$2,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,057.78	82	56.1%46 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Asakura	75c	2,793$2,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,094.81	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Elliott	27c	2,550$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,866.5	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Elliott	24c	2,527$606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920.51	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Asakura	74c	2,418$1,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,785.06	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Elliott	25c	2,196$543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,653.04	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Asakura	74c	2,083$1,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,541.39	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Elliott	26c	2,011$523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,487.96	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed Asakura	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	34	2.9%1 W · 33 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…5c56backed Elliott	27c	2,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe896…21d2backed Asakura	7c	1,765$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.89	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Elliott	21c	1,532$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,204.25	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Asakura	75c	1,333$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	299	48.8%146 W · 153 L	-9.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x146a…36fabacked Asakura	75c	1,322$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990.54	75	52%39 W · 36 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Asakura	75c	1,215$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.24	171	58.5%100 W · 71 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Elliott	26c	1,193$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$883.09	82	20.7%17 W · 65 L	-12.6wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-48%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Elliott	16c	1,117$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$938.9	235	37%87 W · 148 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc567…04bfbacked Asakura	75c	1,063$797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.39	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Asakura	74c	1,039$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.95	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be9…97ecbacked Asakura	76c	1,026$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.92	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.27per pick	57cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Asakura	74c	1,000$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740	226	61.9%140 W · 86 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Elliott	26c	1,000$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$745	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Elliott	25c	1,000$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	202	49%99 W · 103 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Elliott	26c	999.98$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.99	118	44.1%52 W · 66 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Elliott	26c	993.75$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$735.38	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06d0…254fbacked Asakura	74c	809.97$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc35…d905backed Asakura	74c	755.43$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.02	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Elliott	26c	724.93$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.92	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Elliott	25c	714.9$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.18	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…7c00backed Asakura	74c	675.68$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d94…92c9backed Asakura	75c	665$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.75	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Elliott	26c	640.35$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.86	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Elliott	26c	604.59$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.6	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Asakura	68c	587.99$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.51	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Asakura	79c	545.24$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.24	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e9…e10fbacked Asakura	75c	531.9$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.75per pick	75cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Elliott	25c	530.23$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.98	221	44.3%98 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Elliott	25c	527.52$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.09	228	53.1%121 W · 107 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Asakura	75c	516.87$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.69	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Asakura	74c	510$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.4	131	60.3%79 W · 52 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a01…6397backed Asakura	76c	500$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Elliott	25c	498.94$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.21	184	53.8%99 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9a…12debacked Elliott	26c	472.5$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.65	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…58dfbacked Asakura	22c	453.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.88	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+291.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Elliott	40c	450.79$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.81	149	29.5%44 W · 105 L	-15.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Asakura	74c	404.61$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.78	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Elliott	25c	399.96$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.97	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Elliott	25c	399.78$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.86	238	50.4%120 W · 118 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Asakura	75c	390.15$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.61	64	43.8%28 W · 36 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Elliott	26c	385$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.9	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Asakura	74c	385$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.9	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Elliott	26c	375$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce34…565abacked Elliott	27c	370.37$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.37	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd5ec…1bafbacked Elliott	27c	370.37$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.37	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Asakura	76c	356$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.49	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed Asakura	17c	352$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.84	61	9.8%6 W · 55 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Elliott	27c	350$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.5	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Asakura	74c	349.99$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.29	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Elliott	26c	340$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.6	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Asakura	75c	333.33$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe15d…9507backed Asakura	75c	333.33$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+55.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6c1…d8d8backed Asakura	75c	324.2$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.15	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83ce…1778backed Elliott	25c	318.69$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.69	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Asakura	75c	314.98$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.44	339	48.1%163 W · 176 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9212…2ff6backed Asakura	80c	313.64$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+5.7wins	+0.24per pick	47cpaid	+81.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Elliott	30c	301.22$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.39	181	45.3%82 W · 99 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Elliott	55c	300$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Asakura	73c	300$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bce…6c1dbacked Asakura	74c	297.3$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	65	69.2%45 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Asakura	75c	287$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.75	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b9d…2461backed Asakura	75c	286.67$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Asakura	75c	280$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.6	215	54.4%117 W · 98 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Asakura	75c	266.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1511…4ceebacked Asakura	75c	266.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Asakura	75c	266.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2230…a66cbacked Elliott	27c	260.9$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.46	16	50%8 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Asakura	74c	254$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.96	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Asakura	73c	249.98$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.49	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Asakura	75c	244.36$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Elliott	26c	240$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.6	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Asakura	73c	233.33$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+5.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06a1…bc30backed Asakura	5c	211.63$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Asakura	74c	210$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.4	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Asakura	74c	200$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Asakura	75c	200$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Elliott	12c	200$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176	265	52.1%138 W · 127 L	+23.9wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Asakura	74c	200$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	367	55.3%203 W · 164 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC 319: Elliott vs. Asakurathis page
UFC 319: Andrade vs. GodinezGodinez won
UFC 319: Barboza vs. KloseKlose won
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page Page won
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevChimaev won
UFC 319: Hooper vs. HernandezHernandez won
UFC 319: Idiris vs. MoralesMorales won
UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. OleksiejczukOleksiejczuk won
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico Murphy won
UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates Prates won
UFC 319: Silva vs. Barbosa Silva won
UFC 319: Susurkaev vs. NolanSusurkaev won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC 319: Elliott vs. Asakura

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event