UFC · resolved market

UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. Oleksiejczuk

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42b34cca7efb28b0b4dbce928af8dcbf7c56eaf05574a85de1c64191a5c1463d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Oleksiejczukof Meerschaert, Oleksiejczuk
Resolved: Aug 16, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $137,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $150,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,350 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Oleksiejczuk	66c	66,010$43,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,395.77	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Meerschaert	34c	35,272$11,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,985.48	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa8c…a715backed Meerschaert	34c	14,464$4,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,917.92	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.7wins	-0.38per pick	53cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Oleksiejczuk	67c	13,243$8,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,343.01	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Meerschaert	34c	11,237$3,821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,820.64	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Meerschaert	33c	10,054$3,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,317.17	160	49.4%79 W · 81 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Oleksiejczuk	65c	5,194$3,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,817.95	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Oleksiejczuk	70c	4,316$3,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,295.76	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf635…e876backed Meerschaert	34c	3,479$1,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,182.9	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Meerschaert	32c	3,439$1,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,105.37	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Meerschaert	32c	3,378$1,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,081	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+50%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Oleksiejczuk	66c	3,022$1,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,027.65	148	57.4%85 W · 63 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Meerschaert	30c	3,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	137	35.8%49 W · 88 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Meerschaert	34c	2,593$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.48	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Oleksiejczuk	67c	2,332$1,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$776.76	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…5c56backed Meerschaert	34c	2,228$757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$757.35	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Meerschaert	35c	1,987$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690.96	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Meerschaert	34c	1,854$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.46	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Meerschaert	33c	1,555$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.67	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Meerschaert	34c	1,547$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Meerschaert	35c	1,442$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.69	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Meerschaert	31c	1,266$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.17	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Meerschaert	35c	1,247$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.38	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Meerschaert	33c	1,209$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.08	82	20.7%17 W · 65 L	-12.6wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-48%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Oleksiejczuk	68c	1,183$806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.83	177	52%92 W · 85 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Meerschaert	32c	1,029$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.28	184	53.8%99 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a62…ab67backed Oleksiejczuk	68c	1,000$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	55cpaid	+95.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Meerschaert	33c	1,000$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e7…c7c7backed Meerschaert	34c	1,000$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.77	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Meerschaert	32c	1,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Meerschaert	34c	828.44$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.46	118	44.1%52 W · 66 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Meerschaert	32c	766.32$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.56	131	60.3%79 W · 52 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Oleksiejczuk	68c	739.68$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.68	298	48.7%145 W · 153 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Meerschaert	35c	714.29$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Meerschaert	35c	700$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Oleksiejczuk	66c	699.99$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Meerschaert	33c	699.96$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.99	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Oleksiejczuk	66c	677.29$447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.28	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Meerschaert	34c	588.24$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc567…04bfbacked Meerschaert	35c	578.3$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4be9…97ecbacked Oleksiejczuk	68c	517.06$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.06	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.27per pick	57cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Oleksiejczuk	67c	500$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	226	61.9%140 W · 86 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Oleksiejczuk	68c	500$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Meerschaert	33c	499.99$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Meerschaert	34c	450$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.5	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Meerschaert	34c	440$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.6	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Meerschaert	35c	428.57$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Meerschaert	33c	415.24$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.03	235	37%87 W · 148 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Oleksiejczuk	66c	395.71$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.54	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9a…12debacked Meerschaert	34c	377.5$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.35	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Meerschaert	32c	374.96$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.99	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Oleksiejczuk	67c	371.48$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.59	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Meerschaert	32c	347.99$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.52	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Meerschaert	33c	333$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.89	238	50.4%120 W · 118 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Oleksiejczuk	68c	323.53$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.53	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce34…565abacked Meerschaert	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Oleksiejczuk	67c	300.09$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.03	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Oleksiejczuk	67c	300$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99	248	62.5%155 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Meerschaert	35c	300$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Oleksiejczuk	66c	299.98$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.99	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Oleksiejczuk	67c	298.51$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.51	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Oleksiejczuk	66c	295.58$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.5	64	43.8%28 W · 36 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2063…1eedbacked Oleksiejczuk	68c	294.92$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.92	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Meerschaert	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked Oleksiejczuk	67c	286$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.38	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1511…4ceebacked Meerschaert	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Meerschaert	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Oleksiejczuk	65c	285$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.75	141	44.7%63 W · 78 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a1e…2e41backed Meerschaert	34c	264.71$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Meerschaert	34c	260.47$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.56	226	53.1%120 W · 106 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Oleksiejczuk	67c	249.99$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c9f…0e9ebacked Meerschaert	34c	203.68$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.25	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Oleksiejczuk	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Oleksiejczuk	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	115	40.9%47 W · 68 L	-10.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed Oleksiejczuk	66c	194$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.96	32	75%24 W · 8 L	+9.5wins	+0.30per pick	45cpaid	+84.9%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7f3c…6e8fbacked Oleksiejczuk	67c	179.35$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.35	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+2.8wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+75.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Oleksiejczuk	63c	174.22$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.46	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Meerschaert	27c	163$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.77	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-6.3wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Meerschaert	32c	155.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.82	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Oleksiejczuk	69c	152.96$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.19	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Meerschaert	34c	150$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	66	50%33 W · 33 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Oleksiejczuk	67c	150$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.5	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Oleksiejczuk	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5024…fdb2backed Oleksiejczuk	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Oleksiejczuk	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb1…2d65backed Oleksiejczuk	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+72.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Oleksiejczuk	72c	140$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.2	215	54.4%117 W · 98 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Oleksiejczuk	67c	127.69$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.14	318	55%175 W · 143 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3930…13b0backed Oleksiejczuk	65c	119.99$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.20per pick	57cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e75…f58dbacked Meerschaert	34c	115.24$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…1778backed Meerschaert	35c	114.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f4b…aba8backed Meerschaert	33c	105.88$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.27per pick	33cpaid	+69.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Oleksiejczuk	66c	100.01$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.08	115	45.2%52 W · 63 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Meerschaert	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	520	52.9%275 W · 245 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0186…defdbacked Oleksiejczuk	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+6.6wins	+0.15per pick	40cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfedd…bb82backed Oleksiejczuk	69c	91.41$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.4	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e6…f634backed Meerschaert	34c	88.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Meerschaert	39c	87.18$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Oleksiejczuk	66c	83.32$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.33	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Oleksiejczuk	67c	75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.75	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. Oleksiejczukthis page
UFC 319: Andrade vs. GodinezGodinez won
UFC 319: Barboza vs. KloseKlose won
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page Page won
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevChimaev won
UFC 319: Elliott vs. AsakuraElliott won
UFC 319: Hooper vs. HernandezHernandez won
UFC 319: Idiris vs. MoralesMorales won
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico Murphy won
UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates Prates won
UFC 319: Silva vs. Barbosa Silva won
UFC 319: Susurkaev vs. NolanSusurkaev won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. Oleksiejczuk

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event