UFC · resolved market
UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3917e1ff4ad1be8d96e991f823b555685183ff7761515f9080dc2661e90f256
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prates of Neal , Prates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $362,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Prates | 66c | 86,660$57,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,592.38 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Neal | 34c | 66,805$22,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,827.25 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Prates | 67c | 33,618$22,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,151.02 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Neal | 37c | 28,873$10,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,604.92 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…a715backed Neal | 38c | 25,440$9,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,667.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 53cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Prates | 63c | 23,468$14,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,768.39 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Neal | 34c | 19,392$6,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,593.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Neal | 32c | 18,743$5,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,997.64 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Neal | 33c | 18,220$5,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,971.44 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Prates | 68c | 15,000$10,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,814.09 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Prates | 63c | 12,738$8,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,708.65 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Neal | 36c | 11,390$4,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.96 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Prates | 67c | 10,635$7,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.59 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Prates | 62c | 10,040$6,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,815.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Neal | 37c | 8,105$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.85 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Prates | 68c | 7,407$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.96 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Neal | 38c | 7,107$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Neal | 33c | 6,582$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.59 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Prates | 64c | 5,870$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.49 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Prates | 64c | 5,840$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.4 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Neal | 40c | 5,501$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.41 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Neal | 2c | 5,443$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Prates | 63c | 4,100$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Prates | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Neal | 37c | 4,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.98 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Neal | 36c | 3,999$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.29 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Prates | 64c | 3,554$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.91 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…4bb7backed Prates | 63c | 2,931$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Neal | 35c | 2,878$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.49 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Neal | 36c | 2,744$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Prates | 63c | 2,562$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.02 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Prates | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Neal | 37c | 2,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Neal | 2c | 2,493$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Prates | 65c | 2,442$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.48 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Neal | 36c | 2,100$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Prates | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked Neal | 20c | 1,722$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Prates | 64c | 1,620$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.2 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…6eb2backed Prates | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Neal | 36c | 1,347$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Neal | 41c | 1,224$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Prates | 64c | 1,200$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…18dabacked Prates | 64c | 1,058$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Neal | 38c | 1,054$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Neal | 37c | 1,025$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.4 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…9878backed Prates | 64c | 1,002$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Prates | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Prates | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Prates | 65c | 1,000$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.05 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Neal | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Prates | 63c | 995.23$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.23 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Neal | 37c | 975.56$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Prates | 63c | 903.15$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Prates | 64c | 900$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Prates | 64c | 872.76$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.67 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b63…1147backed Prates | 63c | 827.89$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Neal | 37c | 803.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Neal | 12c | 800$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Neal | 37c | 799.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Prates | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Prates | 64c | 779.22$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.22 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Prates | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Prates | 67c | 758.24$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.22 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…6a8fbacked Neal | 34c | 750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Neal | 33c | 729.78$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.05 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Prates | 60c | 724$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Prates | 65c | 689.02$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.16 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Prates | 67c | 629$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.57 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd780…b355backed Prates | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Neal | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Prates | 67c | 599.99$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.5 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…b34ebacked Neal | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Prates | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Prates | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Prates | 64c | 545.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.77 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Neal | 35c | 517.04$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Neal | 34c | 500$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Prates | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Neal | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Prates | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Prates | 63c | 485.59$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb7…865dbacked Prates | 68c | 466.18$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Neal | 36c | 457.68$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.76 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…2ff6backed Prates | 66c | 454.69$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.69 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Prates | 67c | 448.46$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.46 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Prates | 65c | 440$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.6 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Prates | 65c | 434$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…f844backed Prates | 64c | 409.1$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c1…8d10backed Prates | 66c | 409.02$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Neal | 37c | 400$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.62 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Neal | 33c | 399.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Prates | 64c | 398.66$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Prates | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe15d…9507backed Prates | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Neal | 36c | 365.38$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Neal | 26c | 359.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Neal | 37c | 350.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Prates | 64c | 343.75$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Prates | 63c | 340.28$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates this page
- UFC 319: Andrade vs. GodinezGodinez won
- UFC 319: Barboza vs. KloseKlose won
- UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page Page won
- UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevChimaev won
- UFC 319: Elliott vs. AsakuraElliott won
- UFC 319: Hooper vs. HernandezHernandez won
- UFC 319: Idiris vs. MoralesMorales won
- UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. OleksiejczukOleksiejczuk won
- UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico Murphy won
- UFC 319: Silva vs. Barbosa Silva won
- UFC 319: Susurkaev vs. NolanSusurkaev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.