TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Prates of Neal , Prates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$362,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$405,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f09…4632backed Prates 66c86,660$57,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,592.386451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Neal 34c66,805$22,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,827.2535253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Prates 67c33,618$22,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,151.021090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Neal 37c28,873$10,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,604.924744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa8c…a715backed Neal 38c25,440$9,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,667.14714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick53cpaid-77.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Prates 63c23,468$14,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,768.393066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Neal 34c19,392$6,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,593.42147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Neal 32c18,743$5,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,997.6419154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Neal 33c18,220$5,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,971.441827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Prates 68c15,000$10,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,814.0916951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Prates 63c12,738$8,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,708.657841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Neal 36c11,390$4,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,075.9633253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Prates 67c10,635$7,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,533.596746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Prates 62c10,040$6,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,815.181662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Neal 37c8,105$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.853961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Prates 68c7,407$5,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.963748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Neal 38c7,107$2,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700.611637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eed…5a28backed Neal 33c6,582$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.596829.4%20 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Prates 64c5,870$3,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.4913039.2%51 W · 79 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Prates 64c5,840$3,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.42958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Neal 40c5,501$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196.417853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Neal 2c5,443$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.785950.8%30 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Prates 63c4,100$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5171533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Prates 63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48011844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Neal 37c4,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9842042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Neal 36c3,999$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.2916745.5%76 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Prates 64c3,554$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.915955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8867…4bb7backed Prates 63c2,931$1,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Neal 35c2,878$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.4921044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Neal 36c2,744$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Prates 63c2,562$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.0214857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Prates 64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9008256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Neal 37c2,500$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91523537%87 W · 148 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…58dfbacked Neal 2c2,493$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.86339.1%3 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+291.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Prates 65c2,442$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.4825251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Neal 36c2,100$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74635826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Prates 66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.996349.2%31 W · 32 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6271…784ebacked Neal 20c1,722$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.840%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Prates 64c1,620$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.239959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x650a…6eb2backed Prates 65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Neal 36c1,347$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4851936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Neal 41c1,224$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Prates 64c1,200$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4371838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6227…18dabacked Prates 64c1,058$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.71060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4180…cf9cbacked Neal 38c1,054$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.53540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Neal 37c1,025$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.48826.1%23 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x809c…9878backed Prates 64c1,002$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Prates 60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06d0…254fbacked Prates 68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3204161%25 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Prates 65c1,000$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.052352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Neal 37c999.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3706142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Prates 63c995.23$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.237233.3%24 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Neal 37c975.56$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.182138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Prates 63c903.15$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Prates 64c900$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.151369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Prates 64c872.76$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.6751533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b63…1147backed Prates 63c827.89$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Neal 37c803.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Neal 12c800$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951012%2 W · 99 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Neal 37c799.99$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29636745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Prates 63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6517850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Prates 64c779.22$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.2215552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Prates 65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.232254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Prates 67c758.24$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.227653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaefb…6a8fbacked Neal 34c750$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Neal 33c729.78$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.058544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Prates 60c724$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.122944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Prates 65c689.02$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.165736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Prates 67c629$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5718560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd780…b355backed Prates 64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Neal 34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Prates 67c599.99$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.533948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff68…b34ebacked Neal 35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+88.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Prates 64c546.88$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8829848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Prates 64c546.88$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.882564%16 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Prates 64c545.95$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7710650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Neal 35c517.04$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.9612541.6%52 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Neal 34c500$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16828743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1abf…6024backed Prates 68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Neal 34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1708655.8%48 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x257d…aac8backed Prates 65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1752937.9%11 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Prates 63c485.59$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.673441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb7…865dbacked Prates 68c466.18$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Neal 36c457.68$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.763545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…2ff6backed Prates 66c454.69$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.692470.8%17 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+81.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Prates 67c448.46$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4613160.3%79 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Prates 65c440$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.648749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Prates 65c434$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.91450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733e…f844backed Prates 64c409.1$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c1…8d10backed Prates 66c409.02$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.671330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Neal 37c400$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6213041.5%54 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Neal 33c399.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1326946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Prates 64c398.66$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5223850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Prates 64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.636352.4%33 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe15d…9507backed Prates 67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.131266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+55.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Neal 36c365.38$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.54850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Neal 26c359.36$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9621031.9%67 W · 143 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Neal 37c350.64$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Prates 64c343.75$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.756657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Prates 63c340.28$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.188640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.