UFC · resolved market
UFC 319: Barboza vs. Klose
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7a7e9aad9db341e60a4df9f0ef7392fa4c66ddf7c3459d34669196589a0c17e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kloseof Barboza, Klose
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Klose | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,999.99 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…b3dfbacked Barboza | 54c | 94,911$50,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,991.83 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Klose | 43c | 50,488$21,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,971.63 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Barboza | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,100 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…a715backed Barboza | 55c | 20,500$11,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,274.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 53cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked Barboza | 58c | 20,280$11,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,760.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Barboza | 48c | 9,398$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,503 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Klose | 49c | 7,224$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,664.54 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Klose | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Klose | 54c | 5,939$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.41 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Klose | 46c | 5,795$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.68 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Barboza | 37c | 5,263$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.83 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Klose | 46c | 5,098$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.34 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Klose | 54c | 4,861$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.88 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Klose | 51c | 3,550$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.93 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Barboza | 56c | 3,490$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.85 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Barboza | 49c | 3,411$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.31 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +23.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…45eebacked Barboza | 53c | 2,901$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.22 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Barboza | 55c | 2,317$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Barboza | 54c | 2,073$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.23 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Barboza | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Klose | 46c | 1,989$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.06 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Klose | 41c | 1,895$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.24 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Barboza | 51c | 1,798$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.24 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Klose | 48c | 1,500$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Barboza | 50c | 1,234$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.83 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Klose | 43c | 1,194$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.2 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…6a8fbacked Klose | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Barboza | 47c | 922.73$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.4 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Klose | 51c | 781.63$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Barboza | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…c7c7backed Barboza | 55c | 725.77$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.17 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Klose | 47c | 701.02$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.52 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Klose | 41c | 697.56$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.56 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Klose | 46c | 696.08$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.34 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Klose | 74c | 664.09$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.63 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Klose | 56c | 652.35$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.03 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Barboza | 54c | 649.26$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.62 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Barboza | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Barboza | 52c | 600$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Klose | 48c | 576.11$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Barboza | 43c | 560$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Barboza | 52c | 550$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Klose | 61c | 539.29$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.32 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Barboza | 57c | 500.48$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.84 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Barboza | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Barboza | 36c | 461.36$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Barboza | 54c | 424.55$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.26 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Klose | 44c | 409.9$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Klose | 48c | 400$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Barboza | 54c | 382.88$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcba…f255backed Barboza | 52c | 382.69$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Barboza | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1511…4ceebacked Barboza | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Barboza | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Klose | 48c | 325$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Klose | 41c | 295$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.05 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Barboza | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Klose | 51c | 282.35$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Barboza | 47c | 276.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.12 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Klose | 49c | 264.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Klose | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Klose | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Barboza | 56c | 232$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.77 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Klose | 46c | 230$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Barboza | 54c | 227.27$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Klose | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +9.5wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Klose | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f73…bfacbacked Barboza | 61c | 214.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Klose | 50c | 208.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Klose | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3c…6e8fbacked Klose | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…e16cbacked Klose | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Barboza | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Barboza | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Klose | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Barboza | 59c | 200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Barboza | 61c | 197.47$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Barboza | 42c | 194.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…a399backed Klose | 46c | 187$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Barboza | 40c | 186.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Barboza | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Barboza | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Barboza | 52c | 166.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Barboza | 65c | 163.28$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.13 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Klose | 48c | 155.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c1…c14dbacked Klose | 79c | 151.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Barboza | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Klose | 46c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35a…2157backed Klose | 49c | 142.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Barboza | 57c | 122.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Barboza | 55c | 110.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Barboza | 55c | 108.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…4df4backed Klose | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…f179backed Barboza | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Barboza | 50c | 101.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…7dc3backed Klose | 42c | 100.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Barboza | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Barboza | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Klose | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 319: Barboza vs. Klosethis page
- UFC 319: Andrade vs. GodinezGodinez won
- UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page Page won
- UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevChimaev won
- UFC 319: Elliott vs. AsakuraElliott won
- UFC 319: Hooper vs. HernandezHernandez won
- UFC 319: Idiris vs. MoralesMorales won
- UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. OleksiejczukOleksiejczuk won
- UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico Murphy won
- UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates Prates won
- UFC 319: Silva vs. Barbosa Silva won
- UFC 319: Susurkaev vs. NolanSusurkaev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.