TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC 319: Barboza vs. Klose

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kloseof Barboza, Klose
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$244,037
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$256,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,037 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Klose46c100,000$46,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,999.9919544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…b3dfbacked Barboza54c94,911$50,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,991.832250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Klose43c50,488$21,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,971.6335253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Barboza57c30,000$17,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,10019154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa8c…a715backed Barboza55c20,500$11,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,274.65714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick53cpaid-77.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06ac…79ecbacked Barboza58c20,280$11,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,760.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Barboza48c9,398$4,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50310443.3%45 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Klose49c7,224$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,664.5422259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Klose46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,240742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Klose54c5,939$3,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.4120954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Klose46c5,795$2,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,156.6810447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Barboza37c5,263$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.836841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Klose46c5,098$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.3433253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Klose54c4,861$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.8829151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476a…76bdbacked Klose51c3,550$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.936262.9%39 W · 23 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Barboza56c3,490$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.855955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Barboza49c3,411$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.3116955.6%94 W · 75 L+23.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+59.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x37d2…45eebacked Barboza53c2,901$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.222360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…5c56backed Barboza55c2,317$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.322142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Barboza54c2,073$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.2335826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Barboza54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08011844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Klose46c1,989$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.0613953.2%74 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Klose41c1,895$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.248544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf635…e876backed Barboza51c1,798$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.246645.5%30 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4950…0031backed Klose48c1,500$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Barboza50c1,234$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.838220.7%17 W · 65 L-12.6wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Klose43c1,194$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.217850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaefb…6a8fbacked Klose46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…1778backed Barboza47c922.73$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.47233.3%24 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f76…3e05backed Klose51c781.63$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3833655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Barboza54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4e7…c7c7backed Barboza55c725.77$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.171735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-47.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Klose47c701.02$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.5221044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Klose41c697.56$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.561827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Klose46c696.08$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.345945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Klose74c664.09$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.633342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Klose56c652.35$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.0327743%119 W · 158 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Barboza54c649.26$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.6253956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Barboza51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30639959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Barboza52c600$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3145147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Klose48c576.11$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.581855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Barboza43c560$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.614530.3%44 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Barboza52c550$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28833948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Klose61c539.29$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.328248.8%40 W · 42 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Barboza57c500.48$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8428743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Barboza53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506352.4%33 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Barboza36c461.36$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1212134.7%42 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Barboza54c424.55$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.2616745.5%76 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Klose44c409.9$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.722055%11 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8d7…7ad5backed Klose48c400$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2071560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Barboza54c382.88$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.081154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcba…f255backed Barboza52c382.69$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Barboza53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005754.4%31 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1511…4ceebacked Barboza54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Barboza55c350$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.518560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Klose48c325$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1692948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Klose41c295$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.059336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Barboza53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505954.2%32 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed Klose51c282.35$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.351250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Barboza47c276.01$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.126035%21 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2230…a66cbacked Klose49c264.06$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.371650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Klose80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Klose46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13536745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Barboza56c232$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.773652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Klose46c230$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12548749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Barboza54c227.27$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12322653.1%120 W · 106 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed Klose46c220$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.83275%24 W · 8 L+9.5wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+84.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Klose45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12113160.3%79 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f73…bfacbacked Barboza61c214.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+53.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Klose50c208.82$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9629848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Klose48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.334746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f3c…6e8fbacked Klose48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.337100%7 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x328f…e16cbacked Klose48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Barboza52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10416543.6%72 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36ed…4a93backed Barboza56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1125052%26 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Klose49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10213044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Barboza59c200$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11712159.5%72 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Barboza61c197.47$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.366650%33 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Barboza42c194.48$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3721031.9%67 W · 143 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7a…a399backed Klose46c187$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Barboza40c186.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.528143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be9…97ecbacked Barboza54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-57.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Barboza54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Barboza52c166.02$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.333441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Barboza65c163.28$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1351533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Klose48c155.41$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.333545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80c1…c14dbacked Klose79c151.36$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.363100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Barboza56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+91.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Klose46c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.76633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35a…2157backed Klose49c142.07$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Barboza57c122.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Barboza55c110.58$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.821250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Barboza55c108.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad1…4df4backed Klose50c104$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcde4…f179backed Barboza58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Barboza50c101.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.716031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-2.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b1…7dc3backed Klose42c100.21$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Barboza28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7774…15d4backed Barboza55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Klose46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.