UFC · resolved market
UFC 319: Hooper vs. Hernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12feb12e76833d6e6c9a18add95efb6c5d42e308760177262d8a1d59fdd7079e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hernandezof Hooper, Hernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $513,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $523,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…b3dfbacked Hernandez | 25c | 421,687$106,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314,795.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Hooper | 75c | 106,000$79,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,999.99 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…2f7ebacked Hooper | 74c | 103,486$76,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,579.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Hooper | 76c | 97,749$73,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,980.25 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Hernandez | 26c | 41,171$10,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,502.3 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Hooper | 74c | 25,850$19,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,198.24 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Hooper | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,800 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hooper | 74c | 19,741$14,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,677.11 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Hooper | 75c | 15,000$11,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,190 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hooper | 74c | 14,190$10,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500.6 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Hooper | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Hooper | 75c | 8,631$6,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,466.87 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Hooper | 75c | 8,400$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Hooper | 74c | 7,000$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,180 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Hooper | 73c | 6,519$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,758.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Hooper | 75c | 6,027$4,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,520.25 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Hooper | 75c | 3,974$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hooper | 74c | 3,875$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.98 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Hernandez | 25c | 2,774$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.15 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Hernandez | 27c | 2,719$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.77 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Hooper | 75c | 2,600$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hernandez | 24c | 2,514$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.06 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Hooper | 73c | 2,325$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.5 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…4bb7backed Hooper | 76c | 2,171$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Hernandez | 27c | 2,073$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.19 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Hooper | 75c | 2,039$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hooper | 75c | 2,010$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.7 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Hernandez | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Hooper | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…c7c7backed Hooper | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Hooper | 75c | 1,879$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.29 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hooper | 73c | 1,777$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.36 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Hernandez | 25c | 1,707$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.57 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Hooper | 1c | 1,332$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Hernandez | 23c | 1,230$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.83 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Hooper | 76c | 1,151$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hooper | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Hernandez | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe385…54bcbacked Hooper | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Hooper | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hooper | 76c | 927$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.04 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Hooper | 76c | 900$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Hernandez | 24c | 800$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Hooper | 75c | 730$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.5 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Hooper | 76c | 724.99$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.37 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Hooper | 75c | 700$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hooper | 72c | 698$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.56 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Hooper | 72c | 626.3$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Hooper | 76c | 613.79$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.79 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Hooper | 76c | 600$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hooper | 75c | 580$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.8 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Hernandez | 23c | 528.44$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.85 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Hernandez | 23c | 500.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.39 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Hernandez | 25c | 500$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.83 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Hernandez | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Hernandez | 25c | 471.92$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.49 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Hernandez | 25c | 425$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Hooper | 76c | 409$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.84 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Hernandez | 23c | 404.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.29 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Hooper | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…ad93backed Hernandez | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Hooper | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Hernandez | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +9.5wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Hooper | 76c | 399.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…fdb2backed Hernandez | 27c | 372.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Hernandez | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Hernandez | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Hernandez | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Hooper | 72c | 361.29$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.13 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Hernandez | 25c | 352.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.08 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Hernandez | 28c | 350$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Hernandez | 22c | 341.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.75 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Hooper | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Hooper | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Hernandez | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…6a8fbacked Hernandez | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Hooper | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Hooper | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Hernandez | 27c | 299.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Hooper | 78c | 296.07$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Hernandez | 24c | 282.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Hooper | 74c | 280.27$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.4 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Hooper | 74c | 275$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Hernandez | 27c | 270$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.9 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Hooper | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Hooper | 76c | 261.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Hooper | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Hooper | 77c | 259.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Hernandez | 26c | 250$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ea…afc6backed Hooper | 73c | 226.25$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Hooper | 76c | 206$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Hooper | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Hernandez | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd75…02f9backed Hernandez | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Hooper | 71c | 199.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.48 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Hooper | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Hernandez | 27c | 182.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Hooper | 76c | 180$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…e16cbacked Hernandez | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f73…bfacbacked Hooper | 76c | 151.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 319: Hooper vs. Hernandezthis page
- UFC 319: Andrade vs. GodinezGodinez won
- UFC 319: Barboza vs. KloseKlose won
- UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page Page won
- UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevChimaev won
- UFC 319: Elliott vs. AsakuraElliott won
- UFC 319: Idiris vs. MoralesMorales won
- UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. OleksiejczukOleksiejczuk won
- UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico Murphy won
- UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates Prates won
- UFC 319: Silva vs. Barbosa Silva won
- UFC 319: Susurkaev vs. NolanSusurkaev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.