WNBA · resolved market
WNBA: Lynx vs. Sun Series Game 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7f3a439de3d8e2e8ef0c1333ffbc32d6d11228a8ee1a2062df08793843457b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunof Lynx, Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Sun | 35c | 5,211$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…a2cdbacked Lynx | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…df65backed Lynx | 65c | 1,132$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Sun | 34c | 1,078$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Sun | 26c | 1,062$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…50e2backed Lynx | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Sun | 35c | 940.11$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Lynx | 61c | 827.83$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Lynx | 63c | 790.92$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Sun | 37c | 579.29$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lynx | 64c | 429.34$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.66 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked Sun | 40c | 388.05$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Sun | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…27e7backed Lynx | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Lynx | 67c | 200$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15a…a7acbacked Lynx | 65c | 161.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6936…bcfdbacked Sun | 38c | 160.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa161…86fdbacked Lynx | 65c | 154$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0e…68e6backed Lynx | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Sun | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Sun | 33c | 108.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0930…b503backed Lynx | 65c | 99.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9652…36f5backed Lynx | 65c | 99.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…0cd1backed Lynx | 65c | 99.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…a422backed Lynx | 64c | 99.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lynx | 63c | 98.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…1fd3backed Sun | 37c | 98.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…1a9bbacked Sun | 36c | 98.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f0…66bfbacked Sun | 36c | 98.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…37ddbacked Sun | 36c | 98.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Lynx | 63c | 97.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked Sun | 37c | 76.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…c303backed Lynx | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Sun | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Sun | 34c | 49.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Sun | 56c | 33.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…6630backed Lynx | 66c | 30.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.