Middle East · resolved market
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd15bc0e1e98ec219639107469aa555243cc8ca269e3f906e24570ba92252f57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 14c | 16,069$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.87 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 29c | 12,302$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584.31 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 22c | 12,131$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.73 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed Yes | 12c | 11,700$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.17 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 12c | 7,687$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.63 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 23c | 6,304$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.58 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 43c | 6,279$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.17 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 8c | 4,170$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.18 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…b226backed No | 39c | 4,068$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 29c | 3,648$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 24c | 3,083$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.19 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 40c | 2,863$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.46 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 8c | 2,647$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.72 | 72 | 1.4%1 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 25c | 2,502$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.88 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…1196backed Yes | 18c | 2,494$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed No | 56c | 2,455$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 50c | 2,336$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.66 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…09bfbacked No | 55c | 2,280$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 25c | 2,112$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.07 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 75c | 2,011$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.44 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,792$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 56c | 1,784$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.02 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 49c | 1,750$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.25 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 23c | 1,744$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.51 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5805…fab2backed Yes | 7c | 1,724$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 1,419$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.67 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 68c | 1,402$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.52 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…1472backed No | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…abd5backed Yes | 74c | 1,349$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.17 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8309…62b1backed No | 75c | 1,330$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 22c | 1,250$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.49 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 76c | 1,175$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.93 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 38c | 1,100$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.42 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 40c | 1,056$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…faa7backed No | 56c | 1,050$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed No | 80c | 1,042$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b6…6717backed No | 70c | 1,029$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 24c | 994.44$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 33c | 966.31$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.07 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 21c | 938.26$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.43 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked No | 32c | 894.46$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…3501backed No | 57c | 882.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 9c | 879.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 869.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 14c | 802.21$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 73c | 801.2$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.83 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 794.37$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.06 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed Yes | 33c | 740.68$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.03 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 24c | 738.45$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.45 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 70c | 729.47$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.54 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcec…4ea6backed Yes | 25c | 713.64$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 71c | 710$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.6 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…9b7dbacked No | 58c | 688.71$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a5…7d03backed No | 73c | 684$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ee…b81cbacked No | 75c | 665.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 14c | 665.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 28c | 653$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 43c | 638.31$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.19 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 14c | 632.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…f471backed Yes | 25c | 592.42$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 73c | 558.01$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.24 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 47c | 547.59$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.74 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 37c | 535.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.75 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 52c | 525.65$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.11 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…d0ffbacked Yes | 39c | 519.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…8604backed No | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 72c | 515.66$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.83 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cc…5130backed Yes | 53c | 507.66$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…2945backed No | 35c | 500$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…9d39backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 73c | 499.97$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.41 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 4c | 478.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked No | 22c | 449.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5250…2772backed No | 66c | 436.31$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…9c77backed No | 23c | 430.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 33c | 423.84$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.83 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 27c | 422.43$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.7 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…0064backed No | 29c | 414.34$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.94 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd383…c77abacked Yes | 42c | 411.84$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed Yes | 61c | 404.42$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…6c5dbacked No | 55c | 397.87$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.29 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5906…c04cbacked No | 54c | 394.4$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked Yes | 77c | 390.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 70c | 388.17$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.62 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…1f10backed No | 27c | 376.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 54c | 363.34$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked No | 30c | 356.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.66 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 26c | 353.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed No | 24c | 350.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 33c | 350$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…d7b8backed Yes | 14c | 330.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…31edbacked Yes | 3c | 326.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…099dbacked No | 66c | 325.51$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 24c | 320.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…ea33backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…dd84backed No | 66c | 305.09$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…03afbacked No | 26c | 302.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d0…22b5backed No | 33c | 300.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.