TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$394,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$430,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1cfc…2111backed Knicks18c33,461$6,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,088.9518536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Knicks43c30,000$12,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,890.5480146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Knicks14c27,757$4,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,010.646426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Pacers48c25,404$12,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,224.468167.9%55 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed Pacers63c24,106$15,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,994.094551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Knicks51c23,058$11,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,810.4447848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Knicks58c14,059$8,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,15414052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Knicks45c12,633$5,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,649.2914434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5464…be5ebacked Knicks18c12,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+54.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Knicks17c11,870$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.8537734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Pacers42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8002317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d3…d424backed Knicks59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.99100%0 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f9b…7829backed Pacers79c9,072$7,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.299149.5%45 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Pacers42c8,090$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,729.8928347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d28…8b16backed Pacers77c6,498$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Knicks17c6,369$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.921,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Pacers68c5,277$3,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.5115551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Knicks59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9508053.8%43 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cae…f15ebacked Knicks16c4,891$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.743633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+73.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c2…10cebacked Knicks60c4,782$2,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,867.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-69.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Knicks47c4,547$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.946549.2%32 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Pacers61c4,510$2,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.313133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Pacers41c3,626$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.2724151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021e…984ebacked Pacers41c3,617$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.43540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Knicks59c3,265$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.536748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Knicks21c3,256$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.0210357.3%59 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e65…e33fbacked Knicks26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa93…afc1backed Knicks33c2,696$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.772245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Knicks31c2,379$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.7417250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Knicks18c2,222$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9644740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Knicks33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66018632.3%60 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Knicks42c1,935$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.068823.9%21 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Knicks40c1,548$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.28616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-65.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Knicks19c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28516436.6%60 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5062…b616backed Knicks26c1,465$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Knicks22c1,417$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.820248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Pacers40c1,277$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.9547048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea7…7a4abacked Pacers41c1,241$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.461968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Knicks49c1,229$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60056466.8%377 W · 187 L+41.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69aa…8847backed Pacers73c1,050$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2853284.4%27 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Knicks60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Knicks33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3306747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Knicks33c994$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.0222750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xad4a…ddb8backed Pacers46c990$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.134065%26 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Knicks19c939.12$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.437939.2%31 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Knicks59c887.99$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.9122656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b40…2464backed Knicks40c878.23$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.176940.6%28 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Pacers41c840.62$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.9714161%86 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec01…6592backed Pacers72c799.99$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22511344.2%50 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe966…c1c2backed Pacers41c795.12$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Pacers61c794.87$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.813560.7%82 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Knicks14c742.71$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.981,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f1e…f334backed Knicks17c727.91$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-61%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcef4…6c83backed Knicks59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4139341.9%39 W · 54 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Knicks59c666$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.946040%24 W · 36 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pacers66c654.51$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5336843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ff6…9f32backed Knicks37c546.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Knicks10c519$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.977041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ea…17ebbacked Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601788.2%15 W · 2 L+5.2wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+51.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Pacers40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30019838.9%77 W · 121 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Knicks15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7528838.2%110 W · 178 L-18.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Knicks33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16522041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80da…4f6dbacked Knicks23c499.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153935.9%14 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+62.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a49…7447backed Knicks20c499.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.451421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-68.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked Knicks33c450$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.58052.5%42 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Knicks24c435$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.28929.2%26 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pacers53c428.63$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.711,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed Pacers59c424$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.842060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Pacers80c408.41$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7735049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd621…bc07backed Knicks12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x288e…9ca7backed Pacers70c380$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabe9…8826backed Knicks42c371.85$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.184143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5410…9470backed Knicks34c360.39$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x281d…0c73backed Knicks41c348.31$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.812412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-59%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Pacers59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9823251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb13…054dbacked Knicks60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Pacers40c320.84$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.58345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Knicks11c300$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.751,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Pacers77c289.25$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2836747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd881…852dbacked Knicks42c273.85$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Pacers42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2661740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb500…ce53backed Knicks31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-79%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Pacers67c250$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.516140.4%65 W · 96 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Pacers41c244$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.963560%21 W · 14 L+7.6wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+39.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pacers41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.989353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x713f…22ccbacked Pacers41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6385…f892backed Pacers42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Knicks18c201$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.871,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb018…8891backed Pacers42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Knicks15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308026.3%21 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcafb…05f0backed Knicks20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid+455.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pacers67c194.97$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3473051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Pacers55c182.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.435440.7%22 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4e…3488backed Pacers41c170.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.731947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x795d…63e7backed Knicks59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005139.2%20 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+71.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddcd…39d9backed Pacers42c153.26$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.893855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a3…83bdbacked Pacers42c142.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c94…653bbacked Knicks43c135$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.05560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Pacers62c132.36$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9516537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…e756backed Knicks41c122$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.