TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8ff6…9f32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Music, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Music at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-38.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$740
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+254%+$165.11
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+694.7%+$694.67
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Anthony Edwards score the most total points in the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.66
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$13.65
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-53.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+89%+$106.86
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+136.5%+$114.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$108.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+87.9%+$497.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$42.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.