Fifa International · resolved market
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d05dd59e367148eb5a69c386ee5d45bbdab5bacefbaa985c906eee2afe72840
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 59c | 25,268$14,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,835.43 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 49c | 22,435$10,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,947.28 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed No | 49c | 15,002$7,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,351 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Yes | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 44c | 7,759$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.65 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…a05ebacked Yes | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed No | 50c | 4,915$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.59 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 4,053$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.84 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 66c | 3,025$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.21 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 51c | 2,951$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.08 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 50c | 2,537$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.24 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Yes | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.86 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed No | 48c | 1,961$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.25 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.4 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 48c | 1,956$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.55 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 50c | 1,788$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.94 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 49c | 1,718$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.95 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…2a71backed No | 50c | 1,709$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…d306backed Yes | 50c | 1,570$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.43 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 1,531$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.94 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 51c | 1,114$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.08 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…e21bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 268 | 36.9%99 W · 169 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 51c | 1,076$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.5 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,013$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.35 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No | 49c | 999.94$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.97 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…7ba3backed Yes | 34c | 988.24$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.24 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…a3f4backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…fefcbacked Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No | 50c | 914$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 48c | 833.39$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.41 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Yes | 38c | 766.71$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.36 | 117 | 17.1%20 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked No | 49c | 750$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 50c | 749.5$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.75 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 52c | 718.21$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.12 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…edebbacked No | 49c | 694.61$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.49 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 62c | 681.1$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.6 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked No | 52c | 678.19$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 125 | 27.2%34 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…2b4bbacked Yes | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…ae5bbacked Yes | 50c | 647.1$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.54 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 26c | 642.94$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.13 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…e78ebacked Yes | 48c | 626.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.71 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Yes | 50c | 600.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.49 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed No | 48c | 600.08$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.09 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Yes | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…ea2dbacked Yes | 51c | 584.31$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.31 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…b276backed Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…03febacked Yes | 47c | 563.03$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.15 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…55e5backed No | 48c | 499.89$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.95 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 51c | 494.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.93 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes | 52c | 483.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.29 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 64c | 444.66$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.43 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…9aa0backed Yes | 49c | 406.78$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.46 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…98bebacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…0c24backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…6d8fbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a78…acfcbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…ff1ebacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 46c | 363.3$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 51c | 355.45$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.39 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…e31dbacked Yes | 34c | 352.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…d351backed Yes | 47c | 343.54$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.54 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…6a22backed No | 50c | 338.64$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 51c | 326.92$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.19 | 141 | 16.3%23 W · 118 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Yes | 51c | 321.47$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.52 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked No | 51c | 305.88$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…4c7abacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61f…35a6backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 318 | 42.5%135 W · 183 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…7ce4backed Yes | 51c | 299.22$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes | 34c | 295.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.11 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Yes | 34c | 289.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.92 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 48c | 280$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Yes | 35c | 280$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…208cbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…72f4backed Yes | 34c | 264.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.71 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…60bcbacked Yes | 37c | 257.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Yes | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +9.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fd…6d85backed Yes | 54c | 243.64$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 46c | 238.53$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ shotsYes won
- Nicolas Jackson: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 2+ shotsYes won
- Nicolas Jackson: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 3+ shotsYes won
- Sadio Mané: 1+ assistsYes won
- Sadio Mané: 1+ goalsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.