Fifa International · resolved market
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0499c34f59d0ae2624387dd5e1c9359758c627c44f3aac570ff58c21df82c620
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 80c | 10,067$8,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,053.92 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 79c | 8,757$6,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,955.02 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…a05ebacked Yes | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 80c | 3,038$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.16 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 21c | 2,880$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.48 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 66c | 2,100$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.99 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed No | 80c | 1,624$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.08 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 72c | 1,532$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.37 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed No | 62c | 1,522$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.51 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Yes | 38c | 1,301$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.74 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…7ba3backed Yes | 38c | 1,272$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.13 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 24c | 1,124$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.32 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes | 19c | 1,070$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.15 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 20c | 1,001$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.95 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.99 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35b…4a53backed Yes | 19c | 999.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.99 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 16c | 776.63$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.07 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes | 14c | 730.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.71 | 125 | 27.2%34 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…b276backed Yes | 39c | 637.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…72f4backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4447backed Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a78…acfcbacked Yes | 18c | 530.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.96 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…bbcabacked Yes | 20c | 525$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Yes | 20c | 509.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.21 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…adc3backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Yes | 8c | 480.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.28 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed Yes | 37c | 478.65$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.55 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 19c | 415.89$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.87 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 371.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.24 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c44…ce0cbacked Yes | 20c | 328.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.6 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…4bc8backed Yes | 20c | 320.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.77 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…8440backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 23c | 304.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a4…58aebacked Yes | 19c | 303.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61f…35a6backed Yes | 16c | 299.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.98 | 318 | 42.5%135 W · 183 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes | 16c | 280$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 77c | 279.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.59 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 19c | 267.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.05 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…516dbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…6d8fbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2d…0a9fbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 20c | 257$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.94 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 40c | 252.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.85 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…799cbacked Yes | 20c | 251.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.44 | 254 | 37.4%95 W · 159 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0326…3daebacked Yes | 20c | 241.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.4 | 190 | 31.6%60 W · 130 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…67d2backed Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.75 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 15c | 218.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.65 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x211c…ef61backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 79c | 216.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.14 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9583…fa5dbacked Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.53 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa8…3b91backed Yes | 15c | 206.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.35 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…c41fbacked Yes | 15c | 193.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.74 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…d720backed Yes | 19c | 187.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.15 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Yes | 23c | 184.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.92 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…77f0backed Yes | 21c | 178.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.92 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Yes | 20c | 175$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 23c | 161.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 79c | 159$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…fb0fbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed Yes | 38c | 150.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bd…d33bbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…ddbabacked Yes | 38c | 144.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…7ce4backed Yes | 35c | 144.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 179 | 33.5%60 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…46fcbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Yes | 21c | 130$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…8dc0backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…c6eebacked Yes | 14c | 107.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cd…974dbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +151.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…4907backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…bc97backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 19c | 105.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…2698backed Yes | 15c | 103.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 80c | 101.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee8…c7a0backed Yes | 21c | 99.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Yes | 20c | 89.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes | 18c | 88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 96 | 8.3%8 W · 88 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb282…cde9backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85f…0a2cbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 78c | 67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 55c | 64.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6c…2352backed Yes | 17c | 63.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…e17dbacked Yes | 19c | 62.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 20cpaid | +262.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…d338backed Yes | 21c | 61.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…c770backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96be…14a7backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…2960backed Yes | 19c | 53.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…8200backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ shotsYes won
- Nicolas Jackson: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 2+ shotsYes won
- Nicolas Jackson: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 3+ shotsYes won
- Sadio Mané: 1+ assistsYes won
- Sadio Mané: 1+ goalsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.