Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Ethereum all time high by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98de880005b8d58cbc049b4ef117f80fe13dcf86f40d65282967dca505136c34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,372,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,075,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,372,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,937 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x804f…5eb1backed Yes | 0c | 99,641$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 74c | 97,211$72,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,859.8 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 81,363$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.03 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…2851backed Yes | 32c | 72,332$23,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,202.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Yes | 5c | 61,368$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.91 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6475…d281backed Yes | 31c | 55,397$17,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,103.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…3dd5backed Yes | 21c | 50,060$10,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,544.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49c…8150backed No | 70c | 48,155$33,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,345.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…68d1backed Yes | 6c | 43,433$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.26 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…da85backed No | 74c | 42,985$31,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,375.52 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7915…a329backed Yes | 1c | 42,589$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed2…3cf4backed Yes | 4c | 41,000$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3856…3828backed Yes | 5c | 38,560$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…9cbbbacked No | 76c | 35,000$26,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,305.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…1bbdbacked Yes | 0c | 35,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 34,555$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 5c | 33,483$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.52 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 75c | 33,461$25,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,368.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…a7babacked Yes | 28c | 32,569$9,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…b09bbacked Yes | 2c | 27,330$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77cc…f51fbacked Yes | 6c | 26,786$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…4fb9backed No | 54c | 26,508$14,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,195.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…e87cbacked Yes | 6c | 26,501$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…2dbfbacked Yes | 0c | 24,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 72c | 23,963$17,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,622.66 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6a…fc62backed Yes | 21c | 23,812$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Yes | 37c | 23,334$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…773cbacked Yes | 10c | 21,953$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…402fbacked Yes | 1c | 21,670$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.71 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…e2c3backed No | 69c | 21,488$14,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,662.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…57bcbacked Yes | 18c | 21,396$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 10c | 21,102$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked No | 72c | 20,540$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,740.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…01ddbacked Yes | 0c | 19,683$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…3260backed No | 67c | 18,394$12,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,108.52 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…9f32backed Yes | 27c | 17,163$4,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,655.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed Yes | 1c | 16,003$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…e65abacked Yes | 12c | 15,846$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Yes | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked No | 75c | 14,303$10,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,582 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…1b1cbacked No | 75c | 14,151$10,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3a…9098backed Yes | 10c | 13,795$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…c7f7backed Yes | 19c | 12,626$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +534.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 0c | 12,488$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…f6bbbacked Yes | 52c | 12,258$6,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,374.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…f0fdbacked Yes | 32c | 12,244$3,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd7…95f6backed Yes | 5c | 12,180$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…cd7cbacked Yes | 24c | 11,758$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 77c | 11,210$8,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.51 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…e90dbacked Yes | 7c | 11,095$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…7aa8backed Yes | 51c | 10,722$5,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,455.23 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 80c | 10,722$8,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.89 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb0…d15cbacked Yes | 30c | 10,500$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f6…e005backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 58c | 9,860$5,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.11 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 24c | 9,498$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…5f82backed Yes | 42c | 9,317$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,883.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…fbd2backed Yes | 40c | 9,228$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Yes | 1c | 8,893$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…6c5bbacked Yes | 14c | 8,837$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…c90abacked Yes | 31c | 8,796$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…675ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,638$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.36 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…cdadbacked Yes | 6c | 8,635$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…9042backed Yes | 13c | 8,398$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bc…162dbacked Yes | 24c | 8,203$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…0a95backed Yes | 3c | 8,169$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed Yes | 17c | 8,119$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 8c | 7,480$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 74c | 6,875$5,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6f…e343backed Yes | 7c | 6,769$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…9ff9backed Yes | 5c | 6,681$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12da…d12dbacked No | 73c | 6,404$4,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yes | 31c | 6,300$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…3693backed No | 64c | 6,242$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2939…1235backed Yes | 2c | 6,151$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…9a40backed Yes | 4c | 6,000$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdae…b808backed No | 57c | 5,871$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…5ef0backed Yes | 2c | 5,799$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 5,653$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.56 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…8689backed Yes | 0c | 5,191$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,035$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e2…5009backed No | 74c | 5,000$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f4…3a5bbacked Yes | 30c | 4,934$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa73…4c3abacked Yes | 25c | 4,750$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…51b7backed Yes | 24c | 4,724$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…6d3ebacked No | 70c | 4,686$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b0…ccecbacked Yes | 8c | 4,581$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…9b9fbacked Yes | 15c | 4,523$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…5aa9backed Yes | 10c | 4,329$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 3c | 4,226$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…a160backed No | 71c | 4,191$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 18c | 4,081$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.49 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff3d…3fddbacked Yes | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa57a…66d6backed Yes | 38c | 4,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c81…c62dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,981$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c57…6ac2backed Yes | 1c | 3,913$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…b487backed No | 77c | 3,858$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…41e0backed Yes | 5c | 3,776$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e01…f5bdbacked Yes | 24c | 3,553$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.