NBA · resolved market
Will Anthony Edwards score the most total points in the NBA Western Conference Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfca69d20168cae6b11767f3aa4918cded19fe1f167d82a91bb463b2acddd5cf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 6c | 4,199$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.07 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed Yes | 4c | 1,285$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 3c | 1,234$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,160$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.52 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 4c | 1,120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 948.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 79 | 5.1%4 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 7c | 924.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 6c | 684.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 19c | 544$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c3…a7b6backed Yes | 4c | 540$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Yes | 7c | 540$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 4c | 452.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…d218backed Yes | 6c | 222.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 114$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…9f32backed Yes | 25c | 101.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…6c23backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthony Edwards score the most total points in the NBA Western Conference Finals?this page
- Will Donte DiVincenzo score the most total points in the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will Isaiah Hartenstein score the most total points in the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will Jaden McDaniels score the most total points in the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will Jalen Williams score the most total points in the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will Julius Randle score the most total points in the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will Naz Reid score the most total points in the NBA Western Conference Finals?No won
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander score the most total points in the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.