Token Launches · resolved market
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b43362d3fdb35d814e2825cc6390e6883e91cdebbefe96502892bf7ac601e5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,446,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,500,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,446,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 5c | 83,423$4,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,387.75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…4035backed Yes | 7c | 65,549$4,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,341.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 0c | 51,935$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f2…e3a0backed Yes | 8c | 42,914$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b2…6c89backed Yes | 9c | 40,565$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd045…7045backed Yes | 13c | 39,529$5,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,079.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355d…24c0backed Yes | 8c | 38,750$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…5eb1backed Yes | 6c | 36,927$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…bb68backed Yes | 7c | 28,700$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f3babacked Yes | 11c | 25,000$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…cd38backed Yes | 8c | 20,000$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…83a3backed Yes | 9c | 17,731$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…d549backed Yes | 8c | 15,006$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e5…81b5backed Yes | 8c | 12,814$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…ee53backed Yes | 9c | 12,500$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…e33cbacked Yes | 17c | 12,325$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e75…8edebacked Yes | 8c | 11,900$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…2fe4backed Yes | 10c | 11,610$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…6790backed Yes | 9c | 11,481$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…426bbacked Yes | 9c | 10,503$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 8c | 10,300$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f4…3a5bbacked Yes | 12c | 10,103$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…2d23backed Yes | 12c | 9,733$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…4232backed Yes | 8c | 9,375$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…708dbacked Yes | 8c | 8,500$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…db8bbacked Yes | 12c | 8,494$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ae…3e91backed Yes | 8c | 8,319$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf85…1205backed Yes | 9c | 7,561$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 7c | 7,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb038…7d25backed Yes | 6c | 7,321$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd384…3ca6backed Yes | 7c | 7,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…b2e5backed Yes | 14c | 7,121$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7463…f1d3backed Yes | 7c | 6,403$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014b…0ce4backed Yes | 8c | 6,371$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…c5abbacked Yes | 10c | 6,173$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 4c | 6,063$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…3252backed Yes | 7c | 5,765$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a19…8326backed Yes | 12c | 5,671$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Yes | 13c | 5,618$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…6530backed Yes | 7c | 5,597$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…c4c1backed Yes | 9c | 5,335$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8940…f076backed Yes | 12c | 5,167$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6a…69c8backed Yes | 11c | 5,094$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…f5f7backed Yes | 0c | 4,958$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…5dcabacked Yes | 11c | 4,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…bb91backed Yes | 12c | 4,457$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…d03cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,456$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…2d90backed Yes | 10c | 4,096$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e1…1afcbacked Yes | 11c | 4,092$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…4a25backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 10c | 3,856$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 8c | 3,761$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…2b79backed Yes | 9c | 3,511$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…ef28backed Yes | 9c | 3,366$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 4c | 3,228$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd131…9129backed Yes | 16c | 3,221$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…dad6backed Yes | 8c | 3,116$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b8…42dcbacked Yes | 6c | 3,048$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13c…03babacked Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db4…87f0backed Yes | 13c | 2,957$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…91c1backed Yes | 9c | 2,888$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b22…a494backed Yes | 10c | 2,600$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…85cbbacked Yes | 11c | 2,565$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed Yes | 8c | 2,556$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…7242backed Yes | 8c | 2,534$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd07a…d848backed Yes | 5c | 2,393$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,392$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.93 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…3c55backed Yes | 9c | 2,342$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…9f32backed Yes | 9c | 2,317$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…2d67backed Yes | 5c | 2,220$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bca…2aa5backed Yes | 9c | 2,211$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…6df0backed Yes | 11c | 2,190$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,127$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…757bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,047$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…e7ebbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f17…ad6dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…7751backed Yes | 7c | 1,829$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…8882backed Yes | 9c | 1,810$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…a147backed Yes | 11c | 1,772$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbc…ed7cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b0…2d25backed Yes | 9c | 1,678$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…c20fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…62e8backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…decdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,605$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d3…4e5ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,447$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,439$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 9c | 1,409$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…2e2ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…3014backed Yes | 7c | 1,399$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed Yes | 9c | 1,389$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…4c88backed Yes | 9c | 1,361$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…4eecbacked Yes | 9c | 1,329$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…fe77backed Yes | 13c | 1,300$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…501fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Yes | 4c | 1,260$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…b12cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.