Us Politics · resolved market
Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d3ca85decaa77f98d533502a49408d283e45cd0795354c3b3775cd0b649fed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $412,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0211…8073backed No | 1c | 32,000$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 30c | 23,510$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049.72 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 60c | 22,709$13,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,065.73 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 42c | 19,977$8,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,306.48 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed Yes | 57c | 14,280$8,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,074.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 14c | 10,697$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.64 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed No | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…73e5backed Yes | 65c | 9,029$5,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…37f0backed No | 45c | 8,717$3,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,931.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 61c | 7,870$4,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.61 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 6,926$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked No | 44c | 6,502$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.18 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.36per pick | 42cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 48c | 5,546$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.21 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 56c | 5,216$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.75 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 58c | 4,600$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 62c | 4,156$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.55 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…1d2abacked Yes | 71c | 3,610$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 61c | 3,260$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.78 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed No | 42c | 3,115$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed No | 40c | 3,089$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 40c | 3,053$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.07 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 55c | 3,013$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.69 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked No | 37c | 2,924$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 59c | 2,647$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.65 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 2,400$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed No | 48c | 2,396$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.87 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 40c | 2,370$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.3 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…3dcabacked Yes | 59c | 2,292$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed No | 48c | 2,214$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.98 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 45c | 2,100$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 58c | 1,946$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 42c | 1,922$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.97 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 24c | 1,703$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.52 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 63c | 1,500$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,417$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.25 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed No | 42c | 1,404$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.78 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 37c | 1,249$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.7 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 68c | 1,086$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…9f32backed No | 43c | 1,009$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…c1c2backed Yes | 62c | 989.49$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.51 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -82%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 24c | 934.5$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.73 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…d55dbacked Yes | 61c | 894.07$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…e8b8backed Yes | 61c | 816.84$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.65 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 41c | 755$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.55 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked No | 43c | 724.75$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3c32backed No | 52c | 710.5$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.17 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 65c | 700.36$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.13 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 45c | 700.26$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 43c | 643.6$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.79 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed No | 45c | 619.56$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.21 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 59c | 612.89$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.89 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 43c | 595.21$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.74 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 33c | 565$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.8 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d6…50c7backed No | 40c | 555$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 42c | 551.84$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.13 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…bf77backed No | 38c | 550$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 53c | 547.6$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.87 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 38c | 505.38$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.85 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 59c | 500.89$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.12 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed No | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed Yes | 59c | 464.19$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked No | 52c | 448.57$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.44 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 9c | 415.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 12c | 409.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…30a1backed No | 31c | 350$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 11c | 330$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 46c | 318$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…026cbacked Yes | 58c | 303.02$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 39c | 300$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…d6bfbacked No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…17d1backed Yes | 67c | 291.04$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed No | 34c | 264.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 74c | 247.93$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…e2ffbacked No | 44c | 238$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked No | 42c | 237$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…e497backed No | 43c | 231$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 59c | 226$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 38c | 222$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 39c | 200.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 60c | 198$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 37c | 195$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8291backed No | 31c | 186.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…7038backed Yes | 57c | 171.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 42c | 164.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 45c | 161.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed No | 38c | 148.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 40c | 138.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…2329backed No | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 47c | 128.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 28c | 123.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b9…a718backed Yes | 59c | 118.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?this page
- Will Chris Stewart be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Devin Nunes be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Douglas Macgregor be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Ezra Cohen-Watnick be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Michael Flynn be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Ric Grenell be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Robert O'Brien be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will Stephen Miller be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.