NFL · resolved market
Jaguars vs. Bengals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6041cb78d3398ec805169b3ff7ba94b9c2e5ad1b31097989ae05d366ba7955de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bengalsof Jaguars, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,171,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,176,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,171,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f9b…3d2cbacked Bengals | 65c | 603,109$391,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211,542.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Jaguars | 35c | 311,389$108,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,986.03 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Jaguars | 35c | 100,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Jaguars | 35c | 100,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jaguars | 50c | 34,856$17,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,537.75 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Bengals | 38c | 28,799$10,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,840.41 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jaguars | 35c | 25,196$8,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,818.45 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Jaguars | 36c | 22,500$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.98 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Bengals | 51c | 20,000$10,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Bengals | 64c | 19,948$12,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,181.28 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Jaguars | 35c | 17,443$6,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,104.92 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bengals | 54c | 15,624$8,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,258.11 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Jaguars | 37c | 14,000$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,179.97 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Jaguars | 68c | 13,743$9,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,278.21 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Jaguars | 37c | 11,932$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,414.84 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…6d7bbacked Jaguars | 37c | 11,548$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Bengals | 32c | 10,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750.26 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Bengals | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jaguars | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Jaguars | 35c | 7,949$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.15 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Bengals | 24c | 7,363$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,595.9 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Jaguars | 35c | 7,065$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.93 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Jaguars | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Jaguars | 65c | 6,528$4,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.58 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Bengals | 31c | 6,342$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Bengals | 61c | 6,051$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Jaguars | 72c | 5,893$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.22 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Jaguars | 52c | 5,554$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.84 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bengals | 29c | 5,403$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,815.44 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Jaguars | 69c | 5,140$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Bengals | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Bengals | 30c | 4,837$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.44 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Jaguars | 80c | 4,038$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.35 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Jaguars | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Jaguars | 36c | 3,000$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Jaguars | 36c | 2,967$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.05 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Jaguars | 57c | 2,888$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.96 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Jaguars | 71c | 2,800$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Jaguars | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jaguars | 74c | 2,517$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.92 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Jaguars | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jaguars | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…de56backed Bengals | 51c | 2,424$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Jaguars | 38c | 2,149$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.1 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Jaguars | 57c | 2,130$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.5 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bengals | 38c | 2,089$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.5 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Bengals | 62c | 2,047$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.93 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Jaguars | 72c | 1,903$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Jaguars | 35c | 1,855$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.25 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jaguars | 73c | 1,775$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.33 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Jaguars | 65c | 1,734$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.11 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Bengals | 42c | 1,693$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.9 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Jaguars | 77c | 1,620$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jaguars | 35c | 1,590$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.6 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…f3a9backed Bengals | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…7910backed Jaguars | 54c | 1,575$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Jaguars | 65c | 1,532$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Bengals | 64c | 1,520$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.16 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Bengals | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Jaguars | 54c | 1,500$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Jaguars | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bengals | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.98 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Bengals | 54c | 1,297$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.46 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Jaguars | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Bengals | 46c | 1,192$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.09 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jaguars | 36c | 1,151$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.6 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Jaguars | 37c | 1,116$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.05 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Jaguars | 35c | 1,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Jaguars | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bengals | 28c | 999.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Bengals | 23c | 997.43$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.02 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…b73abacked Bengals | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jaguars | 1c | 886.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddd…9407backed Jaguars | 61c | 814.13$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Jaguars | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Bengals | 38c | 788.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.69 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Jaguars | 64c | 758.97$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.74 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bengals | 34c | 731.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.21 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Jaguars | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bengals | 32c | 691.91$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.58 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Jaguars | 38c | 678$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.68 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Bengals | 30c | 677.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.77 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Jaguars | 38c | 665$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.7 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Bengals | 27c | 654.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a5…b434backed Bengals | 49c | 647.2$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.07 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jaguars | 34c | 617.15$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.83 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bengals | 62c | 613.26$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.04 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Bengals | 57c | 593.69$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.5 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jaguars | 57c | 583.15$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.14 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Jaguars | 73c | 575$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.43 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Bengals | 47c | 570.83$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.98 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Jaguars | 77c | 535.36$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.6 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…6dfabacked Jaguars | 65c | 532$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Jaguars | 35c | 528.67$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.03 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Bengals | 38c | 516.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.82 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Jaguars | 38c | 508$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bengals | 37c | 502.51$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.64 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Jaguars | 36c | 500.01$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.89 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed Jaguars | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Bengals | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jaguars vs. Bengalsthis page
- Jaguars vs. Bengals: O/U 49.5Over won
- Jaguars vs. Bengals: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Bengals (-1.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Bengals (-2.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Bengals (-3.5)Bengals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.