F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5683a82e53f53fb58c08f8b7bbb11edc4392d12b73eefc37a765918ad9ceb83e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $582,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $601,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed No | 34c | 194,871$65,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,478.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 18c | 153,505$27,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,034.41 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 66c | 55,000$36,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,700 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 66c | 30,463$20,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,357.29 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d09…3150backed Yes | 68c | 22,059$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,058.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd545…047fbacked Yes | 67c | 19,630$13,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 19c | 18,697$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,170.03 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 48c | 13,872$6,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,706.3 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 66c | 13,276$8,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514.25 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 50c | 11,423$5,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700.62 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…d285backed No | 24c | 9,322$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 79c | 7,159$5,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.56 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 73c | 7,000$5,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Yes | 68c | 6,843$4,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 75c | 3,424$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.83 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed No | 34c | 3,404$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 3c | 3,353$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed No | 33c | 3,333$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 33c | 2,350$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.27 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 79c | 2,196$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.64 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 67c | 1,559$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.73 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…5039backed Yes | 69c | 1,499$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a9…107abacked Yes | 20c | 1,430$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed No | 32c | 1,393$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked No | 35c | 1,371$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked No | 34c | 1,256$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked No | 33c | 1,234$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…504cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,096$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b04…3a41backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 30c | 960.96$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.09 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…5973backed Yes | 79c | 890.7$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed No | 34c | 883.46$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed No | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 16c | 824.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.97 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.31per pick | 37cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 68c | 699.51$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 64c | 612.5$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 34c | 601.7$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.52 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed No | 34c | 600$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 62c | 598.64$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.46 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 54c | 565.01$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.86 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc9…2c38backed Yes | 68c | 556$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 33c | 550$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…2783backed No | 3c | 533.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +398.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed No | 22c | 529.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…7285backed Yes | 19c | 526$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.12 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 39c | 479.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 13c | 479.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…51ccbacked Yes | 69c | 424.46$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 79c | 401.48$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.92 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 18c | 378$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8585…2582backed Yes | 68c | 338.81$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 67c | 318$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 67c | 312.37$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad4…ff91backed No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed No | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…18f4backed Yes | 67c | 300$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…581bbacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b33…9b98backed Yes | 20c | 292.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…277dbacked No | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 73c | 250$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…e861backed No | 18c | 249.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…63c7backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +97%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 72c | 220$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 70c | 213$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 34c | 202.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 32c | 196.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Yes | 69c | 195.34$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…858bbacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…dc76backed Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Yes | 69c | 181.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86eb…a17bbacked Yes | 69c | 170$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x957a…7a0abacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +291.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 27c | 155$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e5…4323backed No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4de9backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed No | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd15…0661backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e57…e535backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 64c | 147$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 76c | 147$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed Yes | 67c | 144.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked No | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.