F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14c35db64dd6c7b5543a132c2f396c7bcba81ff2f342624279008a5f31b2e7a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Yes | 36c | 22,807$8,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,196.11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…e861backed Yes | 0c | 20,691$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 21c | 19,036$4,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,033.24 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 64c | 13,000$8,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,630 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 28c | 10,491$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.17 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 29c | 8,955$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.75 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 65c | 7,065$4,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 72c | 6,139$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.95 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 64c | 4,630$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.75 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 76c | 4,286$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…d285backed Yes | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,637$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.94 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 35c | 2,550$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.5 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 69c | 2,060$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.66 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 65c | 2,054$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…51ccbacked Yes | 41c | 2,023$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yes | 9c | 1,233$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd545…047fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,212$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 69c | 1,166$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 64c | 1,045$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.06 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 70c | 915.02$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171d…d528backed Yes | 37c | 670.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec4…86b1backed Yes | 8c | 547.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 9c | 540$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 31c | 499.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 33c | 378$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed No | 66c | 348.48$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 69c | 333.05$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 9c | 298$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 71c | 275.74$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4de9backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f2…f6c4backed Yes | 10c | 229.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f90…9056backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 20c | 220$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…43a2backed Yes | 36c | 169.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked No | 79c | 160.49$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1848…e3dcbacked Yes | 30c | 158.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98a…99b1backed Yes | 9c | 155.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc216…b083backed Yes | 20c | 153.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36e…1524backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…77fdbacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Yes | 9c | 137.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 14c | 127$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb783…08b2backed Yes | 32c | 115.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…6fa0backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…9e4fbacked Yes | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 27c | 81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9a…99edbacked Yes | 38c | 80.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x135b…24f8backed Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ad…972fbacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…4914backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8c…ad03backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182a…c9bebacked Yes | 39c | 51.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce4…46aebacked Yes | 32c | 47.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5589…a3fabacked No | 69c | 41.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e5…8e79backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…9393backed Yes | 33c | 35.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed No | 66c | 33.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…b125backed Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaed8…ac8ebacked No | 69c | 30.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x331c…66e6backed No | 69c | 29.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…ef74backed No | 69c | 25.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.