F1 · resolved market
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b93416a890c2ae3a6bb5cca0bfde2913401bd6a5d49d503df98542e8783bdac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 5c | 15,000$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 5c | 10,364$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.22 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 4c | 5,528$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.07 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 1c | 4,215$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 6c | 3,693$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.88 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3376backed Yes | 3c | 1,034$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b04…3a41backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 1c | 920.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 838.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 1c | 770$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 8c | 743.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 7c | 520.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 6c | 426.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…6b77backed Yes | 8c | 401.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe390…6a83backed Yes | 7c | 292.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 8c | 279$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe380…0b08backed Yes | 9c | 155.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.