F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6c93a9b18951bad4e282289ed7d331e4d73e88c3d6bf1c5d3fc2e2b3f9ecac0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 36c | 24,281$8,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,806.14 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 54c | 18,865$10,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,185.02 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 38c | 15,000$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 60c | 15,000$8,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,020 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 38c | 12,500$4,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.39 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 52c | 11,294$5,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,458.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed No | 63c | 7,561$4,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.43 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 65c | 6,655$4,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.45 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 36c | 5,430$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.76 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked No | 49c | 3,963$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 78c | 3,314$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.04 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 65c | 3,061$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.28 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 61c | 2,484$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.74 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Yes | 8c | 2,232$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 40c | 1,566$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.97 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 46c | 1,427$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 62c | 1,400$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 62c | 1,345$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.09 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 61c | 1,325$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.73 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 62c | 1,310$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.79 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 25c | 1,287$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.41 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 34c | 1,266$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.85 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 35c | 1,250$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.98 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 70c | 1,125$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…7c68backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…a4fcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 29c | 999.97$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.94 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 36c | 999.86$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.77 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 37c | 999.67$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.3 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked No | 61c | 917.73$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked No | 54c | 895.65$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce6…121ebacked Yes | 39c | 860$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…819dbacked Yes | 15c | 794.44$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…6012backed Yes | 39c | 780$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.2 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 48c | 700$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 35c | 658$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed No | 64c | 637.5$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 31c | 558$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.14 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 38c | 550$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 71c | 540.38$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…e81cbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 46c | 511.49$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.89 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 8c | 509.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 39c | 493.77$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.6 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 34c | 471.24$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed No | 47c | 439.45$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.42 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 20c | 427.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…6fa0backed Yes | 36c | 421.47$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 71c | 419$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 37c | 375.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed Yes | 12c | 368.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae3…47ccbacked Yes | 40c | 350.43$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 55c | 337.37$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.24 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 63c | 335.76$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…26ebbacked Yes | 16c | 324.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…aa53backed No | 65c | 322$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 47c | 314.93$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.46 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes | 37c | 268.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 9c | 267.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…d446backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…298bbacked Yes | 15c | 259.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…2833backed Yes | 40c | 255.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe449…57cfbacked Yes | 35c | 252.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 39c | 222$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…446bbacked No | 71c | 200$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc36e…1524backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 199.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…532fbacked Yes | 32c | 191.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…0e19backed Yes | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 64c | 175$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…a74fbacked Yes | 37c | 174.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x995c…8770backed Yes | 32c | 159.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 62c | 154.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 34c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…7667backed Yes | 38c | 144.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 72c | 143.48$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b2…31b3backed Yes | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 57c | 140.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yes | 15c | 134.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ad…972fbacked No | 43c | 134$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Yes | 44c | 129.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…9e4fbacked Yes | 12c | 127$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…b2b8backed Yes | 33c | 119.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…d409backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…a9efbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…2569backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…2be3backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb030…9afdbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.