F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b0d783db07c67fe09fd8be3a13dc792ead62792e5afea329f7f80d55fbda3a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 23c | 18,417$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,216.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 9c | 16,923$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.58 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 71c | 11,703$8,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 44c | 9,100$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.56 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 42c | 7,437$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…7c68backed No | 71c | 7,121$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,075.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b20…75d3backed No | 9c | 4,277$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 29c | 3,022$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.48 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 31c | 2,186$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.84 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 3c | 2,121$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…176bbacked Yes | 31c | 2,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 8c | 1,928$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.76 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked No | 68c | 1,765$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 30c | 1,700$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 1c | 1,617$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 77c | 1,500$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed No | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…29edbacked Yes | 73c | 1,447$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb724…2ccabacked Yes | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed No | 68c | 1,350$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…446bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,100$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 10c | 1,010$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked No | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 24c | 987.1$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.53 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…51ccbacked Yes | 31c | 982.05$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.43 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…7285backed Yes | 8c | 810$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.2 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 48c | 754$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.99 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…66b2backed Yes | 31c | 700$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 25c | 686.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 43c | 664$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.43 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked No | 70c | 650$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.8 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…47e3backed Yes | 32c | 640.81$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Yes | 32c | 630.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…d446backed No | 48c | 568.86$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 71c | 543$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.22 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…858bbacked Yes | 67c | 532.16$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.13 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 72c | 525$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed No | 12c | 517.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 29c | 513.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.9 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 479$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…804cbacked No | 14c | 460$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b04…3a41backed Yes | 11c | 458.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.82 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…6fa0backed Yes | 11c | 453.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 73c | 444$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.12 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae3…47ccbacked Yes | 34c | 403.13$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 77c | 392.3$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.82 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yes | 30c | 386.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.73 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 77c | 383.45$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.11 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 68c | 366.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 61c | 324.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…22aabacked Yes | 8c | 320$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 31cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…0e19backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed No | 16c | 306.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 74c | 289.16$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.04 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…7888backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8870…6578backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd94b…d34abacked No | 71c | 238.28$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 76c | 237.16$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.24 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x132c…5d2fbacked No | 41c | 235.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed No | 25c | 227$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…30c6backed Yes | 32c | 225.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ad…972fbacked No | 8c | 223.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 8c | 215$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…63c7backed Yes | 9c | 211.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +97%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 34c | 202.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 30c | 201.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8573…6b6bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…3437backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…26ebbacked Yes | 50c | 191.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Yes | 17c | 189.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.59 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8338…8be1backed No | 70c | 186.3$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked Yes | 56c | 181.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…b413backed No | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Yes | 32c | 174.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…55e4backed Yes | 27c | 163.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +266.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f90…9056backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 57c | 147.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 46c | 146.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 46c | 144.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed No | 10c | 143.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed No | 40c | 143.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a3…7eecbacked Yes | 76c | 143$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…7684backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 27cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 69c | 132.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 42c | 128.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…e5e3backed No | 69c | 115.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…3a06backed Yes | 70c | 107.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce4e…c56fbacked Yes | 38c | 105.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x020d…8c32backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1721…292cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.