TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked No58c32,565$18,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,965.5116644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes40c30,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,999.998944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No60c19,999$11,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.41010%1 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.41per pick51cpaid-80%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes42c18,324$7,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,646.9331049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c17,671$9,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,235.391,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No35c15,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2501936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No60c12,463$7,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,477.691040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No41c10,116$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,100.3210752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes65c5,797$3,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.137638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No8c5,230$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.0826040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes41c4,939$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,914.0211735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No13c3,699$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.121,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No60c3,334$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.287529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes40c3,156$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes75c2,559$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.0635157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf667…3463backed Yes41c2,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Yes41c2,418$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.141855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes42c2,345$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.28447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed No26c2,021$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.491729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5404468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes71c1,796$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.7562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No59c1,528$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.352365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes65c1,286$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.974052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f07…f1bcbacked No61c1,210$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No58c1,172$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.512227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes46c1,096$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.8933938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No21c999.09$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.76132.8%20 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No60c776.95$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.177549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No63c763.8$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.129858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes56c756.92$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.119348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No60c746.99$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.612050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No31c736.94$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes38c634.28$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.116157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7fe3…1654backed Yes42c619.05$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d11…c34dbacked No20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No59c598.99$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.411323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes39c500$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.314337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes41c485.37$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.374546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No62c446$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.4210948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No24c432.92$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5112343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No59c400$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes39c393.58$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9226845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5204…1ca0backed Yes67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed No35c370$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No60c350$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21011644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked No60c341.55$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No59c329.96$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6223151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1744122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes70c250.69$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6828448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Yes41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes66c249.2$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.73977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes43c248.26$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.641040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.94238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.12236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes41c233.44$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.737869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1165556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed No61c180.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes42c178.1$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.36648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed No60c160.93$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Yes64c157.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.081145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ce…75e0backed No64c156.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef2…50e0backed No66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes43c139.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.531275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes37c134.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9223153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaadd…637dbacked Yes70c132.56$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dea…1f52backed Yes40c131.95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf86c…abfabacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c122$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9724044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.952650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes40c121.1$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.662552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe5…cf64backed Yes75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc862…755fbacked Yes77c116.42$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Yes42c107.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.141060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed No59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde22…292abacked Yes79c88.68$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.623100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x375c…ea25backed No63c88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No47c78.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.861136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes41c72.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.741947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+36.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No64c70.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.93683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8d…6d9cbacked No61c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed Yes40c67.21$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.331080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+111.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ccf…b312backed Yes41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes41c60.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5819055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f20…87c9backed Yes39c59.18$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.15100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+136%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe09e…9f48backed Yes68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+153.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc84d…01e2backed Yes80c58.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.73366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No63c55.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9e4…3034backed No64c54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f6…eafebacked Yes74c53.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No60c51.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315160.8%31 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56da…fca2backed Yes67c50.75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes53c50.24$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.466854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42f5…4183backed Yes64c49.34$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d7…5adcbacked No61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.