Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8189e29baedf9a20b13e12b363cfcea7faba2e7a0a19a140e6cf1e7ac67b68f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 10,623$7,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.47 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 10,198$7,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.03 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed No | 70c | 6,313$4,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 3c | 6,127$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.16 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 70c | 5,486$3,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.69 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 25c | 4,465$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.15 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 3,390$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.09 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 35c | 3,082$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.69 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 65c | 2,859$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.55 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes | 33c | 2,538$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 2,470$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.03 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 33c | 2,448$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 66c | 2,184$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.73 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 33c | 2,039$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 62c | 1,856$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.26 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…5d1bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,791$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,405$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 33c | 1,355$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.4 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 4c | 1,320$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 1,200$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.63 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 32c | 1,094$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 29c | 1,093$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.08 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 30c | 981.78$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…ecf5backed Yes | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…45f4backed Yes | 33c | 908.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…f034backed Yes | 16c | 900$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 31c | 823.02$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…5d4dbacked Yes | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…312bbacked Yes | 6c | 750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 15c | 740$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb134…af68backed Yes | 31c | 730.39$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…b3adbacked No | 69c | 728.45$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 35c | 647.57$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.96 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 67c | 587.5$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.62 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 30c | 540.93$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.87 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc98…5efabacked Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 21c | 431.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 372.22$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.65 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 22c | 365.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 68c | 349.98$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Yes | 9c | 348.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 25c | 335.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 30c | 323.47$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…8ee9backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 77c | 301.28$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 33c | 298.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 8c | 249.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 73c | 245$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 32c | 241.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 69c | 240.63$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 33c | 239.39$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…7152backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 36c | 186.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 37c | 162.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 33c | 158.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Yes | 33c | 152.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 22c | 147.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…481abacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 30c | 134$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed No | 66c | 130$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 65c | 122.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Yes | 33c | 121.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 63c | 111.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 109.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…93d9backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…7223backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…28a5backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Yes | 34c | 82.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked No | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-05?this page
- Will Lille OSC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?No won
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.